Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 25, 2007
A Ynetnews Exclusive

Ynetnews, the website run by the Israeli daily Yedioth Ahronoth – "Israel’s most-read newspaper", comes up with an "Exclusive" currently at the top of its main-page. The Telegraph’s Con Coughlin will be certainly jealous of this scoop.

Next to the picture of a big explosion it is revealed that – Iranian scientists research fuel-gas bombs:

A document obtained by Ynetnews, jointly authored by three Iranian scientists, "seems to contain military applications for fuel-gas bombs," an expert on Iran said.

During a fuel-gas explosion, a cloud of fuel is set alight by a detonator to produce an explosion. The resulting wave flattens all objects close to the proximity of the epicenter, and produces widespread damage beyond the area of the cloud.

Sounds very dangerous to me – like some thermobaric weapon or fuel-air-explosives used in the  Israeli Carpet system or the US BLU-73, BLU-95, BLU-96, CBU-55 or CBU-72 bombs.

How frightening if the Iranians would be researching such. But as the story goes, we learn that they are not really doing so:

The document is a thesis which examines the "injection-velocity effects" resulting from fuel vapor clouds, and was authored by three Iranian scientists from the Imam Hossein University, the Sharif University of Technology, and the Iran University of Science and Technology.

"The large number of vapor-cloud explosions in the past, which involve severe damages, clearly indicates the need to consider this problem," the thesis’s introduction said. "Preventing such events from happening requires a good knowledge of gas explosion and the way of reducing the frequency and consequence of its occurrence," it added.

Does not sound much like weapon research to me, rather like safety research to prevent accidents like the 1974 disaster in Flixborough or the BP refinery fire in Texas 2005. But Ynetnews has an expert on this:

Commenting on the thesis, Professor Raymond Tanter, who heads the Washington-based Iran Policy Committee (IPC), said: "Although seemingly innocent and only for scientific purposes, the document seems to contain military applications for fuel-gas bombs."

Tanter is by trade an expert, but on political science. He is also a member of the Committee on the Present Danger, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy and various other neocon infested likudnik outlets. The Iran Policy Committee which he founded is shilling for regime change in Iran and promotes the anti-Iranian People’s Mujahedin Organization (MEK) terrorist cult.

There are also rumours that Tantler’s MEK friends have found proof for some very dangerous stink-bombs Iran is developing. His careful scientific interpretation of the Iranian veterinarian paper on "injection-velocity effects" of bovine flatulence will certainly be another worthy exclusive for Ynetnews.

Reading the comments to that article, unfortunately such propaganda – ridiculous as it may be – does what it is expected to do.

Comments

Kurt Vonnegut’s eight rules for writing fiction

“Readers should have such complete understanding of what is going on, where and why, that they could finish the story themselves, should cockroaches eat the last few pages.”

I disagree b, That’s why IPC and friends, have elevated the medium. It’s not propaganda anymore, it prop-agenda. Framing. As Jeff Wells writes, ‘How to “Question Authority,” when it’s Authority telling us how to question it?”
These megalomaniacs have to take it to the next level to accomplish their agenda, their fiction, and have figured out what thinking people know. In that, “most propaganda is not designed to fool the critical thinker but only to give moral cowards an excuse not to think at all.” The new agenda changes that. They want to galvanize their (the moral cowards) base denial, by giving it only one way to think. They know that moral cowards can be reached with the right questions and evidence as we are beginning to see. So by framing and cognitive boxing It wants to manage what they do think, it’s an asymmetrical ideology war, hence prop-agenda.
In addition, I suspect, the ptb know that attacking Iran is their last card, their last ace in the hole. And we WONT be attacking Iran until all avenues are exhausted to deflect the slowly awakening masses. And this is important: If need be. So, the ptb, are content, happy even, to let their lackeys by proxy ramp up the fear i.e. the stratagem of tension, whether or not they intend to use their trump card. By doing so, (if they decide to) the foundation will be there when they need it.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Mar 25 2007 22:16 utc | 1

To clarify my above, I should have sd, I suspect we WONT be attacking Iran until the last days of this Admin, unless it gets to hot for them at home.
I believe it will be their last grand finale as they leave office where, they shit on the American people as their last FU. Of course, these variable are always subject to change.
Here’s an article with information about a possible U.S. strategy for policing the Strait of Hormuz — something I haven’t seen anyone else talk about (those 3 islands). At first, I wasn’t sure if the author was being sympathetic toward the U.S. (neocon) point of view, but if you go to the link, you can read the comments section where the author chimes in, interacting with the posters, and gives his opinion and further commentary that’s worth reading, IMO.
The Dire Strait
The most valuable piece of real estate in the world is not to be found in New York, London or Tokyo. The world’s most valuable real estate is comprised of two imaginary boxes

03/07/07 “ICH” — — They are the international shipping lanes at the apex of the Strait of Hormuz. Each day, tankers carrying 16 million barrels of oil worth $800 million pass through these boxes. If oil is the blood supply of the industrial economy, the Strait of Hormuz is the jugular. In any conflict between the US and Iran, control of those shipping lanes will instantly become the focus of the entire conflict. The main job of the US Navy would be to ensure the Strait remains open. That implies pre-emptive action against any Iranian facility or emplacement capable of launching anti-ship missiles against targets in the area of the Strait.
The use by Iran of “the oil weapon” has been widely discussed and examined. What has attracted less attention is the ability of the Untied States to use the oil weapon against Iran. By occupying three key islands on the Gulf approaches to the Strait, the US could deny passage to any ship it pleases. America could thus close Iran’s only major route for oil exports, while ensuring safe passage for the rest. Although 20% of the world’s oil trade passes through the Strait, Iran accounts for only 2.5 million bbl/day of world exports, or just over 15% of the traffic in the Strait. Because of their disputed legal status, it would be possible to extend a US presence indefinitely. Occupation of these islands could thus deliver to the US a strategic coup great enough to justify a war with Iran in the first place. The US has two Marine Expeditionary groups in the area capable of such an operation.
It is no secret that the US Government wants regime change in Tehran. Their problem is the inability of us military, economic or diplomatic power to deliver. As discussed in a previous article, there are urgent reasons for the US to escalate the war to Iran that have nothing to do with regime change. However, for a lasting strategic re-alignment in the region, regime change is highly desirable. One must assume that even the most hawkish agitators in Washington and Jerusalem don’t believe bombing alone will bring down the Iranian government. The only feasible means of damaging the political stability of the clerical regime is by attacking the Iranian economy. Despite the oil money flowing into the country, the economy is shaky. Unemployment and economic dissatisfaction run high. This represents the only significant point of contention between the regime and its citizens. A blockade of Iranian oil exports would bring the fragile economy to its knees in a matter of weeks. If, and its a big if, the citizens of Iran blame their government for the economic ruin, there is a possibility of regime change.
Stopping Iranian oil exports is an easy thing to do militarily. One simply destroys the export facilities. Unfortunately, it could take years to rebuild those facilities. If a new government were to take power in Tehran, a lack of ability to export oil would become acutely inconvenient for everyone. Better to find a way that allows the US to turn the exports on and off at will. Interdicting Iranian bound tankers would be ideal as virtually all Iranian oil exports pass through the Straits. 200 Marines and 10 Blackhawk Helicopters would be sufficient to impose US directives on all the traffic in the area. However, parking an aircraft carrier in the Strait would be inviting disaster. No nearby bases are available because of the political problems a US presence would bring. Occupying several key islands astride the shipping lanes themselves would be ideal.
Three such islands exist. Tunb al Sughra, Tunb al Kubra and Abu Musa are small islands astride the shipping lanes on the Gulf side of the Strait. Abu Musa rises to a height of 100m, giving an excellent view from Bandar-e Lengeh on the Iranian coast to Dubai in the south. Abu Musa and al Kubra have airstrips. The islands are claimed by both the UAE and Iran. Iran has occupied the islands since the 1970’s. The issue is an ongoing concern of both UAE and the Gulf Cooperation Council. The UAE has taken the matter to the World Court and the UN. The GCC included a statement on the islands in the communiqués of its December 2006 summit. Iranian occupation of the islands is therefore disputed at best and illegal at worst. That legal uncertainty presents an opportunity to the United States. In a wider war between the US and Iran, the US would undertake operations against a series of Iranian islands and mainland locations in any conflict over the Strait. The US Navy and Marines would have to flush out possibly thousands of anti-ship missiles stored in the surrounding area. Those operations would involve landings by Marines and special forces. But they couldn’t stay, and they wouldn’t want to. However, in the case of the Tunb islands, it can stay if the UAE invites it to do so. There are no hostile locals to police and none of the complications found in Iraq. If imperial dreams still haunt the sleep of George Bush, then permanent US control of the Strait of Hormuz is in the cards.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Mar 25 2007 22:55 utc | 2

Applause: b and Uncle.

Posted by: beq | Mar 26 2007 1:15 utc | 3

“most propaganda is not designed to fool the critical thinker but only to give moral cowards an excuse not to think at all.”

And then “prop-agenda”.
I thought I was sort of on top of their use of the PR (P-A) card but these things seem to be moving faster than I can keep up.
You sure help keep me informed and up to date uncle (actually most all MoA posters) but WTF do I do with all this knowledge?
Attend our county’s legislative breakfast in the morning and express the profundity I glean here to our state legislators in the two minutes allotted me. Wish me luck. It’s one of my best shots for now. :-S
Thanks again unc & b.

Posted by: Juannie | Mar 26 2007 1:18 utc | 4

juannie, just a thought. don’t know if the subject arises, but you could always help to keep the fire hot beneath the impeachment pot brewing and bubbling in your state.

Posted by: conchita | Mar 26 2007 2:26 utc | 5

The strategic use of any islands in the Persian Gulf to deny Iran its oil exports only works on paper. Make that one sheet of paper. In practice, it would be an overnight disaster of global dimensions.
The first thing the Iranians would do is let the heroic Americans sink a tanker or two. “Go right ahead. Sink six of them if it floats your boat, monkey.”
Let the Americans spill oil all over the Gulf. Or, the Iranians will scuttle a couple tankers full of light crude themselves. Toss in some incendiaries, and Voila! nobody, but nobody is shipping oil through that strategic passage.
But seriously, Lloyd’s of London won’t go along with any of this. Before it ever came to shooting or scuttling, the mere escalation of transit risk in those waters would raise tanker insurance rates so high — overnight — that no one could afford to insure those tankers or their cargo, and they wouldn’t sail. Again, nobody is shipping oil through there.
If it ever does come to shooting, those tiny islands face 1700 kilometers of mountainous Iranian coastline so full of caves, crevices, gullies and hidden missile launching points that a million Marines couldn’t find them all in this century — and they’d only have a week, tops, to take out the threat. Can’t be done.
The moment world oil supplies are constricted – by anyone – you have a world war, whether declared or not, whether actively nuclear or not just yet. No nation can ignore the situation, can fail to take sides, can fail to take action. America will not have the slightest control over what happens next, not 30 minutes after they started the donnybrook. All political, military and economic strategies go right out the window.
The entire problem with confronting Iran militarily is that Iran can close the world’s petroleum jugular at a moment’s notice. Iran can still do this after a week or a month of aerial bombardment. Some bearded believers waiting patiently in caves along the coastline can do this six weeks after Dubya stuffs some socks in his boxers and stages yet another Mission Accomplished moment.
There is no military solution, period.
Those Pentagon Generals who’ve made it plain that they will resign upon receiving orders to hit Iran? They know there is no military win to be had against the Iranians. No chance whatsoever of anything more than short duration, highly localized tactical wins. Seizing refineries, ports, pipelines, and such. All irrelevant to the strategic battle.
Strategically, Iran wins any attack upon it by closing the Gulf shipping lanes. Therefore, closing the Gulf shipping lanes as a way of attacking Iran is a complete non-starter.

Posted by: Antifa | Mar 26 2007 2:56 utc | 6

Antifa :
Those Pentagon Generals who’ve made it plain that they will resign upon receiving orders to hit Iran?
Ah… which Generals were those?

Posted by: John Francis Lee | Mar 26 2007 6:03 utc | 7

Ah, that would be those nameless generals who let it be known through nameless sources that they would not go along with an Iranian adventure.
And what a relief! With this mighty, anonymous bulwark against nuclear madness in place, children from sea to shining sea sleep more peacefully in their beds than ever before.
Why, it’s as good as having Santa Claus on record against the project . . .
It’s unprecedented in American history. It’s intangible until it’s tangible. It’s a whisp of hope, that’s all.
Iran’s going to be out of oil (and money) before 2025. Their Arab neighbors (seven nations) fear a demographic explosion from Iran’s burgeoning Shiite population. Europe and America fear such an explosion upsetting the orderly draining of the Middle East’s oil reserves unto about 2050.
So, there is a remarkable consensus to knock Iran down, and certainly to prevent any nuclear ambitions years ahead of their fulfillment.
It’s just that it won’t work, it won’t work. There is no military solution to what’s building over there.

Posted by: Antifa | Mar 26 2007 6:50 utc | 8

To Antifa w/love:
WASHINGTON DC — The long awaited US military attack on Iran is now on track for the first week of April, specifically for 4 AM on April 6, the Good Friday opening of Easter weekend, writes the well-known Russian journalist Andrei Uglanov in the Moscow weekly “Argumenty Nedeli.” Uglanov cites Russian military experts close to the Russian General Staff for his account.
The attack is slated to last for twelve hours, according to Uglanov, lasting from 4 AM until 4 PM local time. Friday is a holiday in Iran. In the course of the attack, code named Operation Bite, about 20 targets are marked for bombing; the list includes uranium enrichment facilities, research centers, and laboratories.

The first reactor at the Bushehr nuclear plant, where Russian engineers are working, is supposed to be spared from destruction. The US attack plan reportedly calls for the Iranian air defense system to be degraded, for numerous Iranian warships to be sunk in the Persian Gulf, and the for the most important headquarters of the Iranian armed forces to be wiped out.
The attacks will be mounted from a number of bases, including the island of Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. Diego Garcia is currently home to B-52 bombers equipped with standoff missiles. Also participating in the air strikes will be US naval aviation from aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf, as well as from those of the Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean. Additional cruise missiles will be fired from submarines in the Indian Ocean and off the coast of the Arabian peninsula. The goal is allegedly to set back Iran’s nuclear program by several years, writes Uglanov, whose article was re-issued by RIA-Novosti in various languages, but apparently not English, several days ago. The story is the top item on numerous Italian and German blogs, but so far appears to have been ignored by US websites.
link

Posted by: jj | Mar 26 2007 8:33 utc | 9

Iran’s going to be out of oil (and money) before 2025.
From what I’ve read Iran’s hurting because of the embargo the US has had on it for lo these many years and has not developed its fossil fuel resources. But that doesn’t mean they’re not there.
If China helps out financially… either before or after the US trashes the country (after looks more likely now, boy are they cold)…
Their Arab neighbors (seven nations) fear a demographic explosion from Iran’s burgeoning Shiite population.
…Iran will “get away” with standing up to the West, with a young, energetic population that will remember the Americans with all the fondness of the Jews for the Germans.
The “subjects” of the despotic Sunni collaborator states will be less well-contented with the local satraps. Most of the people living right on top of the oil and actually doing the work in the oil fields are Shia…
Europe and America fear such an explosion upsetting the orderly draining of the Middle East’s oil reserves unto about 2050.
… and the EU and US share the long fears and short horizons of their clients, or vice versa depending on your point of view…
So, there is a remarkable consensus to knock Iran down, and certainly to prevent any nuclear ambitions years ahead of their fulfillment.
…there certainly does seem to be no pretense of “live and let live”, or “thou shalt not covet thy neighbors’ goods”.
The tragedy is that this is all so impossibly rear guard.
The Neocons have engaged the people with the least imagination with their war carrot, with their oil carrot (that’s why they call them “conservatives”) in their doomed effort to lay-low Israel’s resisters and victims.
The obvious thing to have done was to have stoked the intellectual fires of innovation, to meet the challenge of dramatically less fossil fuel in the future, because that’s what’s coming ready or not.
The total cost would have been less that we’ve burned already in Iraq, and the fire there clearly will continue to be fed (another USD125 billion vote this week by the “opposition party”, the Neolibs, in the congress) until there are zero dollars left to burn…
But instead we let these Neocons/Neolibs play us for all we’re worth.
Now we’re forced to meet the future, not on our own terms, when we’re still flush and yet have options available, but when we’re on our knees in the gutter, played out completely in an orgy of hatred, murder, and destruction.
No fuel, no finances, no friends… for far too many people no arms, no legs… or no family… no hope, and no future.

Posted by: John Francis Lee | Mar 26 2007 8:54 utc | 10

GI Special
“We Stand No Chance Against Our Enemy There, And Every Life Lost Fighting Them Is In Vain”

March 20, 2007 By Jason Lemieux, Iraq Veterans Against The War, http://www.ivaw.org
Hi.
My name is Jason Lemieux, and I am veteran of the U.S. Marine Corps infantry.
I served three tours in the Iraq occupation, and I have something important to tell you.
You see, there are a lot of members of Iraq Veterans Against the War who speak out on the immorality of the occupation. Tons. While I agree with them that the occupation is immoral and unjustified, I don’t think that you are all that moved by hearing it.
Don’t get me wrong; I’m not implying that you, the reader, are a bad or uncaring person.
It’s just that lots of things in this world are immoral, and for most of us they all blend together after a while.
What I want to tell you about the occupation of Iraq is something else entirely: Whether or not we are justified in occupying Iraq is irrelevant at a certain level, because we stand no chance against our enemy there, and every life lost fighting them is in vain… There are many reasons why, some of which will forever remain a mystery.
Let’s look at a couple of the ones we do know.
One reason is the plague that is the military-industrial complex. The methods we use depend on superexpensive technology produced by the defense industry.
The defense industry’s lobbyists ensure that Congress buys their equipment, which we are then forced to tailor our methods around.
In the Department of Defense (DOD), generals get promoted by maintaining the status quo, which amounts to forcing these methods upon their troops. If they are particularly good at it, they can look forward to a sweet deal from a defense company when they retire.
One tactic we use is combat patrols. What these boil down to is four to eight Humvees driving around, looking for enemy activity. The problem is that there isn’t any way to spot enemy activity, especially from inside an armored Humvee.
The main weapon of the resistance is the roadside bomb. Planting roadside bombs takes only a minute or two and can be easily concealed with normal activity you’d expect to see happening in a city, like dumping out the trash or digging a new sewer line.
Once the bomb is in place, the bomber can detonate it from any building up to a mile away. The result is that a bunch of guys ride around in loud trucks with machine guns until a roadside bomb hits them, then they evacuate the wounded.
To understand the inward focus and zero-defect mentality of our military, consider the following: When a small-unit (30 soldiers or less) commander debriefs his soldiers after a roadside bomb attacks their patrol, he stands in front of them and says things like “you guys were on the ball getting that medevac called in” or “you did a good job of posting security quickly” instead of saying “I admit that I made us an easy target for our enemy.
“I guess driving four loud diesel trucks in single file down a main thoroughfare in broad daylight was not the best patrolling technique.”
…if you kill one person for any reason, his entire tribe is considered justified in getting revenge by killing everyone in your tribe. Since our military doesn’t have identifiable tribes, every soldier becomes a justified target. Any warfighting philosophy that depends on killing is a sure way to failure in Iraq.
Quick example: An intelligence report I read explained how a member of the local police force (the report is classified, so I won’t mention the city), whose tribe was pro-American, was killed one day in a crossfire between resistance fighters and a U.S. Army unit.
His family was well aware that his death was a complete accident. The same day that he died, two of his brothers and one of his cousins joined the resistance. In the accidental death of one Iraqi citizen that was on our side, we instantly turned three of his relatives to our enemy’s side.
In the months that followed, I read version after version of the same story.
When X is killed or captured by American forces, W, Y and Z all make America their sworn enemy on the same day.
Winning by killing is a mathematical impossibility.

“I Am Going To Baghdad To Kill Americans”

Reg Keys, who ran as an Independent candidate against Tony Blair, in the 2005 UK election and father of Tom, one of the six UK military police killed in Al Majar, in south eastern Iraq, in June 2003, told me of one of the last conversations with his young son.
The Americans had bombed a small group of homes. The MP’s went to see what help could be given. They found a man digging with his hands in the rubble of his house, trying to find his wife and children.
The MPs helped and when they brought out the bodies, helped him bury them in waste-land near by, since travel to the cemetary and customary, proper burial was too dangerous under ‘liberation’s’ strafing from the liberators.
Then they asked him if they could take him anywhere. He looked around at the devastation and said: ‘I have no where to go.’ Then, suddenly, he said : ‘Yes, please take me to my home.’
They took him back to the rubble where his life had been based and his children born and he started to dig again.
Eventually he unearthed an ancient Kalashnikov. Then he thanked them and said goodbye.
Where was he going? They asked.
He looked up at the sky, shook his fist towards it and replied: ‘I am going to Baghdad, to kill Americans.’
And Tom Keys? His father, Reg, says quite simply of Tony Blair and George Bush’s invasion: ‘Tom and his friends died for a lie.’
Across Iraq and Afghanistan, those on all sides are dying for the lies of the millennium.

“The Democrats Are Dancing On The Graves Of Iraqi Citizens And U.S. Soldiers With Their Crass Political Calculations”

With the Democrats back in power, Congress will provide “oversight” to this war while tens of thousands of Iraqis and hundreds of U.S. soldiers continue to be killed.
What this maneuvering by Pelosi, Obey and their minions really comes down to is crass political calculations.
Conveniently, September 8, 2008 — the date set for the withdrawal from Iraq to be completed — is the first Saturday following Labor Day. Labor Day traditionally marks the start of the fall election season.
The Democrats are dancing on the graves of Iraqi citizens and U.S. soldiers with their crass political calculations.
Fund the war this year.
Fund the war with another $142 billion next year.
Make false promises of a withdrawal by the start of the election season in 2008.
Run as antiwar candidates.
And tap dance your way to the electoral season — no matter how many lives are lost along the way.

Posted by: John Francis Lee | Mar 26 2007 10:16 utc | 11

More on framing and prop-agenda…
The 5 Words Bush Wants Americans to Repeat
In a scripted moment of imperial bravado, President Bush held a press conference yesterday to address the scandal over his Attorney General having lied to Congress. Why this sudden move? In a word: framing.
Even more frightening to the Bush administration than being caught putting loyalty to leader above following the law, the Gonzales scandal has lured off the White House PR ranch and into a frame about administration corruption and deceit.
And so, as is par for this President’s course whenever the White House is faced with a crisis, the goal of Bush’s press appearance was not to inform the American public of any facts, but to force the White House’s carefully scripted keywords into the debate–with the hope that journalists and Democrats would repeat them.
So, they sent in the PR keyword “repeaterer” to get the job done.
The following is a list of the 5 keywords dropped by Bush, yesterday–keywords that Americans should repeat only if they want to help President Bush deceive the American public by luring the debate away from the important issue of honesty in government:
resignation
leadership
explanation
incomplete
fishing
Also see, White House PR Firms Squash Stories on Small Business Contracting Scandal, Announces American Small Business League

American Small Business League President Lloyd Chapman says he believes the Bush administration’s expenditure of over $50 million a month to some of the nation’s largest public relations firms is hampering his efforts to expose billions in fraud and abuse in federal small business contracting programs.
“White House PR firms have been working overtime to kill stories on Bush administration policies that have diverted over $300 billion in federal small business contracts to the top 2 percent of U.S. firms,” Chapman said.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Mar 26 2007 13:28 utc | 12

There is no military solution, period.
Antifa wrote. Right. The ultimate (and perhaps last as Uncle suggests) neo-con and neo-lib folly.
April 6? How many dates have we had until now?
What is hallucinating is that the the long drive against Iran is motivated only by US enmity – even if some Democrats in the past were mildly pro-Iranian – and Israel. The how and why of the conjunction of their interests has been debated here, let’s forget that for the mo.
I suppose everyone in upper spheres knows that Iran presents no threat to Israel; that Ahmajinedad’s word’s about off-map-wiping were mistranslated, and even if their interpretation represents ‘hidden’ motives, they are meaningless, empty grand-standing or witless populism; that Iran is not developing nuclear weapons, and won’t even in favorable conditions be able to do that for 10 or 20 years; that preventing Iran from carrying out ‘peaceful development of the atom’ is yet another deathly stab at the heart of the NPT, which should now be considered defunct; that Iran has no WMD, no deadly gases etc.; that Iranian influence in Iraq is entirely a US problem, failed states tend to be vacuums for outside influence and gangsters…
What do we see? Everyone, including the UN security council, is tackling the Iranian ‘problem’, shuffling about with this or that proposal, such and such a negotiation, more sanctions, or not, etc. etc. It is also known that for Iraq all these moves – a mixture of appeasement and trickery, as I see it – only put the invasion of Iraq forward, and forward again, on the calendar.
The International community is subservient, that is not STOP news, but really worrying in this case. It is hard to penetrate that thicket, understand if these are holding actions, designed to save face for the hegemon, with some expectation of success, or if they are last-ditch, tried but not true shuffles, insignificant but obligatory in the diplomatic ballet.
Still hoping.

Posted by: Noirette | Mar 26 2007 14:47 utc | 13

Uncle $cam’s link to the small business contracting scandal fits in nicely with Noirette’s musing.
all those people are bought and paid for. they will write whatever they are told or what ever they think will please their paymasters. it is an old story and comes down to wanting to be comfortable and to fit in. the truth is so confusing and under appreciated anyway, a man has got to make a living now, doesn’t he?

A 2006 Office of Government Accountability report found the Bush administration had spent $1.6 billion over 30 months on public relations campaigns and advertising. In some cases, journalists like Armstrong Williams were paid as much as $240,000 to promote pro-Bush administration policy and pass it off as unbiased opinion.

Posted by: dan of steele | Mar 26 2007 15:20 utc | 14

@ Uncle on Straits of Hormuz
From the wayback machine. Around 1980 an old oilman told me a riddle from the oil biz:
What is blue, 3mi wide, and will start the next WW?
Answer: Straits of Hormuz
This strategic nugget has been old news, and an old fear, in the intl oil community for years. Yet seldom emerges from behind the sacred veil of privileged verities into the light of popular awareness and discussion.

Posted by: small coke | Mar 26 2007 19:52 utc | 15

Last I read Brits were going to send The Little Prince to the Border area (w/Iran). Bait? Anyone know if he’s arrived?

Posted by: jj | Mar 26 2007 20:49 utc | 16

Fact or fiction?
France Urged Israel to Invade Syria During War
The Lebanon war, that is… The story is more than a week old, has there been a refutation?

Posted by: Alamet | Mar 27 2007 14:39 utc | 17

@Alamet – 17
Chirac is said to have “financial connections” to Hariri junior, i.e. the Saudi money guy in Lebanon financed his campaigns – there may well be relations …

U.S. launches show of force in Persian Gulf

The U.S. Navy on Tuesday began its largest demonstration of force in the Persian Gulf since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, led by a pair of aircraft carriers and backed by warplanes flying simulated attack maneuvers off the coast of Iran.
The maneuvers bring together two strike groups of U.S. warships and more than 100 U.S. warplanes to conduct simulated air warfare in the crowded Gulf shipping lanes.

A French naval strike group, led by the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle, was operating simultaneously just outside the Gulf. But the French ships were supporting the NATO forces in Afghanistan and not taking part in the U.S. maneuvers, officials said.
Overall, the exercises involve more than 10,000 U.S. personnel on warships and aircraft making simulated attacks on enemy shipping with aircraft and ships, hunting enemy submarines and finding mines.
“What it should be seen as by Iran or anyone else is that it’s for regional stability and security,” Aandahl said. “These ships are just another demonstration of that. If there’s a destabilizing effect, it’s Iran’s behavior.”

The last sentence seems to be straight out of 1984 …

Posted by: b | Mar 27 2007 16:33 utc | 18

Fuel-Air-explosives from Iran, no, sorry its China:
link

Jane’s reveals that China’s Xinshidai Company is churning out thermobaric warheads for the venerable RPG-7. Thermobaric explosives are ‘volumetric’ – the explosion comes from a cloud rather than a point source, and produces a blast that lasts longer. Even though this increase in duration is measured in milliseconds, it makes thermobarics far more destructive than condensed explosives, against both buildings and people.
The Russians were first to produce a portable thermobaric rocket with the RPO-A Shmel (which seems to be one of these that produces many of the casualties in Beslan ). The US followed with the SMAW-NE, which was used to great effect against buildings in Fallujah where one round “would incinerate the target or literally level the structure.”
The Chinese version, called the WPF 2004, looks to be just as lethal. According to Jane’s, it’s a “fin-stabilised rocket” with “a launch weight of 3.2 kg and becomes armed 35 m to 50 m from the launcher. Muzzle velocity is 89 m/s with an effective accurate range quoted as 200 m against a 0.45×0.45 m target.”
In other words, you can aim at a window and knock down a two or three story building from 200 meters away.

Posted by: b | Mar 27 2007 16:35 utc | 19