|
OT 07-002
Good morning folks – (said by a still-a-bit-drunk b)
We’ll leave to Berlin in a short while and there may not be a post here in the next two days. Jana’s music will get you over the deprivation period …
Thanks for coming here. Please leave links to news and/or your views in the comments.
More Kremlinology as Negroponte moves to State.
Wayne Madsden thinks Negroponte will be “oversee[ing] an “embedded” unit of private contractors who are preparing for an attack against Iran.”
As reported by the Boston Globe on Jan. 2, the Iran-Syria Policy and Operations Group (ISOG) is setting the stage for a U.S. military confrontation with Iran and Syria and is supported by BearingPoint, the same contractor that provided assistance for the Iraq Policy and Operations Group (IPOG), the group that helped bring about the disaster in Iraq. BearingPoint also had the contract for selling off Iraq state-owned enterprises and was involved in a number of the dubious financial deals of Paul Bremer’s Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq.
That would seem to align Negroponte with Cheney.
Yet intelligence agencies appear to have exerted some of the pushback to counter Cheney’s push for more aggressive military action in Iraq and Iran. Whether the pushback had a nod from Negroponte, or was part of the discoordination of the various intelligence groups, a source of frustration to Negroponte reportedly (Times of London via Juan Cole), is impossible to say.
Alabama on the Spin thread observes:
As for Big Time….well, since Negroponte’s been Powell’s ally from the start, I expect to see Big Time spend most of the summer in Wyoming, fishing (but not hunting) with Rumsfeld.
And I suppose this was Baker’s idea all along–letting Negroponte negotiate us out of Iraq behind the smokescreen of a military “surge” (and how I love the sudden apparition of that word–it’s as if the Beltway were vomiting up the “insurgency”).
According to NBC, Negroponte’s likely successor as DIA, retired Admiral, and current Booz Allen defense contractor, Mike McConnell “had strong support from Cheney” when Cheney was SecDef. Of course, policy rifts have developed among the defense policy group of Bush41.
While trying to unravel the implications of the policy and personnel reshuffling in this country, Cutler’s 12/23 analysis of competing camps within the Saudi royal house, and how they may line up with Cheney or Baker/ISG, is interesting. (A knowledgeable commenter @ Cutler cautions that the Saudi divisions are not simplistically bipolar, and that there are other powerful Saudi players, who are not well known in the U.S.)
No wonder the White House Iraq Policy Review is delayed. Bush and Condoleezza Rice have to pick sides. They are both in way over the heads.
The obvious question: can Cheney and the Sudairi Seven triumph over Baker and King Abdullah?
Put differently, can Bush choose Baker and break his ties to Cheney? Or is Cheney too powerful to isolate?
Finally, if anyone is still trying to add up so many x values, Juan Cole has a helpful summary of affiliations and tensions among various political factions and militias in Iraq.
Posted by: small coke | Jan 4 2007 17:36 utc | 11
Rattled America will find it can’t spin itself out of this one
Bob Ellis
January 5, 2007
GEORGE Bush will be hard put persuading three, four or five thousand American soldiers, marines and reservists who have already been there to go back to Iraq this year, to face 4 million Sunnis displeased by the Saddam hanging. Hard put too to persuade Nuri al-Maliki to stay in office, and stay alive, till they get there.
In the meantime the spinning of the killing of Saddam continues. The US had nothing to do with it; we merely guarded him for three years, then took him to the house of death and flew his coffined body to Tikrit. We tried to stop it happening so soon. We would have “handled it differently”. What’s all this fuss? The last 60 seconds of a tyrant’s life matter less than the first 60 years. We’ve killed his two sons and his 14-year-old grandson and we’ll kill his half-brother tomorrow, so the “process of national healing” can begin. Has any “process of national healing” been so mismanaged in world history? Has any filmed event won fewer hearts and minds? JFK’s killing perhaps, though it pleased a good few Southern schoolboys, who cheered at the news.
If we only look at the politics of lynching a warrior-hero, abusing him on the gallows, keeping him awake the night before by banging on his cell door and flaunting before his bleary eyes the hangman’s rope, we can see just how dim the whole plan was. What Sunni will pose beside Maliki now? What Arab leader, Sunni or Shiite, will praise his political skill?
And who will trust the Americans now, after this and Abu Ghraib and hurricane Katrina, to get any process right in any country including their own? Not the British soldiers on the ground in Helmland Province, Afghanistan. Not the Australian “security guards” in downtown Baghdad. Not the Iraqi dentists, doctors, nurses, restaurateurs and university lecturers daily fleeing the country. Not the children with toothache. Not the pregnant women with nowhere to go to give birth. Not the grandmothers of dead babies in humidicribs whose electricity gave out. Not the middle-class parents afraid to put their children on school buses lest they never see them again.
And who in the US will trust the American Army, the State Department and the current American rulers of Baghdad either? Not the 30,000 boys and girls wounded, nor their families. Not the 13,000 or 15,000 parents and siblings bereaved. Not the mayors of the towns the 3000 dead kids came from. Not the Democrat local members Bush is now asking for more soldiers, more weapons, more money, more patience, more time in a Long War as long, perhaps, as the Cold War.
The US is facing outright defeat — and worldwide contempt as never before — because of the Saddam gallows Grand Guignol and the secular Golgotha his jeering, black-hooded captors turned it into. And none of this need have happened. All the cluey US spin-men had to do, after consulting a few legal experts, was yield him up to lengthy trial by the UN War Crimes Tribunal in The Hague; let him give big speeches the media would soon tire of; and let him grow very old and sad in jail.
But they didn’t, and the consequences are dire and daily mounting. Soon they’ll have Tariq Aziz to deal with. He’s a Christian, a friend of Pope John Paul, and literate, well-spoken, Anglicised evidence of how broad-based a secular government Saddam ran, and how much 4 million university graduates, civil servants, medical professionals, lawyers, judges, soldiers, police and schoolteachers miss him now, in a world of veils and checkpoints and daylight kidnappings and suicide bombings and 10,000 policemen killed in two years.
Will Tariq Aziz hang? Will his breaking neck and open eyes and slowly swinging corpse be telerecorded too? Will he be allowed his beloved P. G. Wodehouse and Agatha Christie paperbacks in his cell on death row? Will he get a final press conference? Will he be allowed to wear a suit and tie? What questions will he be allowed to answer?
In freedom’s name we have helped the US start this barbarous process. In freedom’s name we too are called barbarians now, by fairly civilised peoples who may have a point.
And we Australians are in the thick of it. Staying on, to “finish the job”. The job may not be all that’s finished by the time we’re done.
Bob Ellis is an author and commentator.
(source : theagecom.au)
Posted by: remembereringgiap | Jan 4 2007 18:58 utc | 15
|