Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 17, 2006
WB: A Royal Pain

Billmon:

The Dauphin stamps his little foot and says "non" …

A Royal Pain

Comments

For what its worth, Saleh al-Mutlaq, member of parliament and leader of the Sunni National Dialogue Front said yesterday, in an interview that U.S. ambassador Khalilzad has been pushing for partition behind the scenes. But then again, he’s also agitating for a coup. It does’nt seem like anybody knows what anybody else is doing. Or maybe the decider decideth too much.

Posted by: anna missed | Oct 17 2006 4:57 utc | 1

I’m a little confused. I agree with Billmon’s basic criticism that it is not Bush’s purview to make unilateral pronouncements regarding the fate of other nations, but are we on the Left coming down on the pro side of Balkinizing Iraq now?
I have some extreme doubts about how genuine Bush’s tantrum was in the first place… I suspect that later, when Iraq is “grudgingly” partitioned (much to the benefit of future petroleum distibutors), this tantrum will be pointed to as evidence that any profits recieved were entirely incidental, and that the US “deeply regrets” that the divide-and-rule approach had to be taken against the fragmented and disenfranchised new states of the former nation of Iraq.
This just looks like disengenuous ass-covering to me.

Posted by: Monolycus | Oct 17 2006 5:21 utc | 2

Monolycus, the way I see it, we’re working within the Juan Cole theory, which is “Sometimes, you’re just fucked.” Then we just note the behavior of our leaders and marvel.

Posted by: Rowan | Oct 17 2006 5:32 utc | 3

@Rowan
Touché.

Posted by: Monolycus | Oct 17 2006 5:42 utc | 4

I was hoping that I might be able to get a few good ideas from the barflies on piece of art I am working on. I will not bore you with all of the details of the show I am planning but one piece is a reinterpretation of Gustav Dore’s engraving of Don Quixote. I want to draw a parallel between Don Quixote in his library being assailed by his imaginary demons and knights with President Bush in the oval office being assailed by his imaginary demons and knights – If you care to make suggestion please ignore the obvious ones. Of particular interest to me would be titles of classic American books on expansion or even European. Please see the link if you need a visual.
http://www.stefanmart.de/12_quixote/1201z_dore_1.jpg
I do not want to rely on just inserting the obvious but acknowledge I do not know enough historically to insert the more subtle and biting suggestions, like manifest destiny.
In addition, if this is an inappropriate request for this forum I apologize and will refrain in the future. I only post here because for the last few months I have been reading the posts and comments and I find the regulars to be very intelligent (does flattery help?)
Thank you –
I chose to comment under this post by Bill Mon because the reference to Bush as “his majesty” seemed to loosely relate the theme of my next art display.

Posted by: Fiat Lux | Oct 17 2006 5:48 utc | 5

@ Monolycus – you might be on to something.
AlterNet: Bush’s Petro-Cartel Almost Has Iraq’s Oil

Posted by: Fran | Oct 17 2006 6:02 utc | 6

@Fiat Lux #5
I’ve seen several photoshops done along similar lines. I don’t know how “subtle” one can be, or even how desirable subtley is in these expressions. When Billmon calls Bush “the Dauphin”, he’s not being subtle, but his message is entirely accessible. One can just put a word balloon over a photo of Bush’s (or Cheney’s) head that says “L’etat c’est moi” and get the same point point across.
Art is funny that way. I’m currently working on a painting of a snarling Bush and Cheney dressed in skins and horned helmets a la viking plunderers. It amuses me, but probably won’t persuade anyone that they are the “raiders” I view them as being. Ars grata artis… or something like that. Go with your gut.

Posted by: Monolycus | Oct 17 2006 6:11 utc | 7

@Fran #6
That was my take on it. Just because I despise BushCo on a visceral level doesn’t mean I am just going to throw them into that thar briar patch because they are loudly protesting that they don’t want it.
Unfortunately, though, as Rowan points out, this is a lot of second guessing and might be a foregone conclusion anyway.

Posted by: Monolycus | Oct 17 2006 6:14 utc | 8

that’s one hell of a link fran. post the second part tomorrow!
monolycus, i think bush is playing a roll. of course he wants the division. anyway, cheney is running the WH show.
all the minions are sceaming bloody murder w/their pockets open

Posted by: annie | Oct 17 2006 7:08 utc | 9

Maliki filtered by Snow – when Snow says “Maliki said..” we can assume that what’s following is not what Maliki said.
U.S. Officials Undermine Baghdad, Leader Says

Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Maliki told President Bush on Monday that U.S. officials have been undermining his government, and sought reassurance that the administration was not preparing to abandon him.
During a 15-minute morning phone call, Maliki said he was concerned that U.S. officials had openly suggested imposing a two-month deadline for him to gain control of militias and quell sectarian violence, said White House Press Secretary Tony Snow.

Snow said that Bush, who initiated the phone call, encouraged the prime minister “to ignore rumors that the United States government was seeking to impose a timeline on the Maliki government.”
But when asked whether Bush had “total confidence” in Maliki’s Shiite-dominated government, Snow said the president “believes the prime minister is doing everything in his power” to stem the country’s raging violence, adding, “There has to be more to be done. The violence levels are absolutely unacceptable.”

Media-savvy Iraqi politicians, watching the 2006 campaign unfold in the U.S., don’t think even a change of government in Washington would significantly alter American policy.
“The U.S. is a country of institutions,” said Qassem Dawoud, a member of the Shiite coalition. “The institutions won’t make any dramatic changes with the election of one party or another.”

Posted by: b | Oct 17 2006 8:23 utc | 10

Great link Fran, worst suspicions confirmed (again). This fuckers gonna blow — before December.
annie, the second link is found at the beginning of the first.

Posted by: anna missed | Oct 17 2006 8:44 utc | 11

thanks anna missed

Posted by: annie | Oct 17 2006 9:34 utc | 12

The Nation piece from Naomi Klein pulled from the above link, a taste of James “study group” Bakers dealings:

The goal of maximizing Iraq’s debt payments directly contradicts the US foreign policy aim of drastically reducing Iraq’s debt burden. According to Kathleen Clark, a law professor at Washington University and a leading expert on government ethics and regulations, this means that Baker is in a “classic conflict of interest. Baker is on two sides of this transaction: He is supposed to be representing the interests of the United States, but he is also a senior counselor at Carlyle, and Carlyle wants to get paid to help Kuwait recover its debts from Iraq.” After examining the documents, Clark called them “extraordinary.” She said, “Carlyle and the other companies are exploiting Baker’s current position to try to land a deal with Kuwait that would undermine the interests of the US government.”
The Nation also showed the documents to Jerome Levinson, an international lawyer and expert on political and corporate corruption at American University. He called it “one of the greatest cons of all time. The consortium is saying to the Kuwaiti government, ‘Through us, you have the only chance to realize a substantial part of the debt. Why? Because of who we are and who we know.’ It’s influence peddling of the crassest kind.”

But then again, if the aims of the USA are really the aims of corporate culture…. think again.

Posted by: anna missed | Oct 17 2006 9:41 utc | 13

are’nt the aims….. bedtime for bonzo here.

Posted by: anna missed | Oct 17 2006 9:53 utc | 14

Fiat Lux,
art is always an appriopriate subject, though an open thread might be the best place if you want to make another request in the future.
If find it hard to recommend any particular works. It seams too inplausible that Bush would read “The Prince” or “Mein Kampf” (no particular connection between those to except they leapt to my mind) or for that matter any book at all that is older then a couple of years. Maybe he would instead read comic-books (Superman?) or have DVD-cases lying around with real (Them!) or fictionous titles (The People knows what you did last summer).

Posted by: a swedish kind of death | Oct 17 2006 14:35 utc | 15

“I want to draw a parallel between Don Quixote in his library being assailed by his imaginary demons and knights with President Bush in the oval office being assailed by his imaginary demons and knights”
It’s called Delirium Tremens, or the DTs for short.

Posted by: billmon | Oct 17 2006 15:08 utc | 16

It’s called Delirium Tremens, or the DTs for short.
So empty bottles then?

Posted by: a swedish kind of death | Oct 17 2006 15:17 utc | 17

a mirror w/ a razor (the powder being already long gone). various fart joke books, bartender guides, party jokes, a bible still hermetically sealed, lots of business cards, a pack of playing cards featuring members of the iraqi govt strewn about, saddam’s pistol, polaroids from abu ghraib & other torture chambers, a members only jacket crumpled in the corner, a dart board w/ the constitution tacked to its face, one of those singing billy bass wall trophies, …

Posted by: b real | Oct 17 2006 15:53 utc | 18

about the stupidity of bush, his puerile reactions to complicated problems, suskind’s book (novel?) is loaded w/ amusing examples. generally, suskind’s technique is to juxtapose the earnestness of cheney/rice/etc. with bush’s impetuousness:
>blockquote>Then Cheney and Rice fired questions at both. How do we know that? What are you planning next? Who are we after?
It wasn’t about evidence-that was for the slow-footed, for lawyers building cases. This was about action. The one percent rule had found its next application. First there was al Qaeda in league with nuclear scientists. Now Zawahiri was heading up a bioweapons program, at the same time the country was in an anthrax panic. Cheney wanted targets.
“Who do we hit first?” he asked CIA.
They knew only so much. The answers started to be: “I’ll get right on it.” There was much work to do.
Cheney then looked hard-eyed at both, natural, institutional enemies. He turned to FBI. “You see any foreign connections whatsoever in your investigation, you have to share it with those guys down the river. Are we clear!” The FBI officials nodded, knowing not to speak.
He turned to CIA. “You guys down the river. If you can help the bureau in any way, you better do it-and not just the minimum. You cross all the lines. You tell them everything. Make sure nothing’s left out.”
He got up-meeting’s over-and looked at both groups with disdain. “You guys don’t cooperate for shit. Well, I’ll be damned if that’s going to happen here.”
George W Bush was sitting in the Oval Office receiving reports on progress throughout much of each day. He was now, as he often liked to say, “a wartime president.” Whether he had changed after 9/11, or had simply discovered qualities that had lain dormant, he had surely found his metier. Bush had long been comfortable making quick decisions without the luxury of precedent or detailed study and investigation. In his first nine months, this had prompted concerns among some senior staff in the White House, members of the cabinet, and seasoned hands in Congress-was he reading the materials, was he thinking [73] things through? Now, a staccato rhythm of swift decisions seemed to be the thing needed. There was no precedent to what had been done to America and what the country now faced, and that was liberating. The moment demanded improvisation, a demand that freed Bush. Left unfettered, and unchallenged, were his instincts, his “gut,” as he often says, and an unwieldy aggressiveness that he’d long been cautioned to contain.
Other top officials soon learned what Tenet knew when he called in Cofer Black. Military or intelligence advisers who’d killed men-the more visceral, the better-knew that tales of combat would be readily received by a leader who was most focused, always, when he could make things personal. Tactile. Visceral. The President himself designed a chart: the faces of the top al Qaeda leaders with short bios stared out. As a kill or capture was confirmed, he drew an “X” over the face. “Making progress,” he’d joke, ruefully.
On that score, he’d had a particularly glorious Presidential Daily Briefing in early December. An Afghan military chief told CIA operatives that Zawahiri had likely been killed in an air attack near the eastern city of jalalabad.
Tenet excitedly made the report to Bush at the morning briefing. Bush grabbed a lead pencil with the presidential seal, marked an “X” across the wide, meaty, bespectacled face of the Egyptian, a man whose importance to the Islamic jihad movement all but matched that of bin Laden. There was rejoicing in the Oval Office.
and on and on.
but he fetched a 1206 on his sat.

Posted by: slothrop | Oct 17 2006 15:59 utc | 19

re: Frans Link
They talk about oil and gas in the western desert. Isn’t this the Anbar – do the sunni’s actually have some resources on partition? This would change the story significantly. Anyone know.

Posted by: ed_finnerty | Oct 17 2006 16:23 utc | 20

@ slothrop – He turned to CIA. “You guys down the river.”
I believe it’s up the river.
🙂

Posted by: beq | Oct 17 2006 16:30 utc | 21

fran
thanks for the link & thanks

Posted by: remembereringgiap | Oct 17 2006 16:44 utc | 22

Very interesting reader’s comment at Fran’s link @6:

Well, Have you seen the satellite pics of Iraq/Kuwait border?
Even if we pull out we still get their oil. How??? Slant drilling from Kuwait. I was corresponding (adopted a soldier in Iraq) with a soldier who was stationed in Kuwait near the border and he sent me currency before it was made into fiat currency and pictures of the huge megalith pipeline laying along the inside of the Kuwaiti border that went underground on the Kuwait side. This was early on. He said we or the oil company personnel were working 24/7 to lay that huge pipeline. You could drive a huge truck through that thing it was soooooo big.
So then I found the satellite pictures from Popular Mechanics showing the area along the Kuwait border BEFORE THE INVASION and next to it, a satellite picture AFTER THE INVASION. When you viewed these pictures side by side as the article points out, you understood the reason for that huge pipeline that the soldier talked about. It appeared they were building derricks and burnoffs of the gas on the Kuwait side and you could see the increase in the lights as a result of that burning of the gas which wasn’t there before the invasion.

Commenter’s url for the satellite pictures is wrong. Correct link is here

Posted by: Alamet | Oct 17 2006 17:31 utc | 23

From The Comparative Federalist in 2003:
As another armed conflict winds down once again the media begin borrowing the word “federal” from the shouts of those groups who seek a share of the power. It also comes from their loosely presumed experiences of stable democracies that appear based on power sharing models. “Talking heads” that guest appear to fill the post-battle coverage on CNN, Fox, MSNBC, Sky, and others like to throw in a reference to a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq that is federal. It is media shorthand for their conclusion that many interests need representation in a new governmental framework that is 15-20 percent Sunni Arabs, 60 percent Shiite Arabs, plus Turkomans, Assyrians and other Christians. In a feature on “Rebuilding Iraq,” The Economist (2003) asserted that after establishing sovereign power across the whole territory, the second move should be the creation of institutions involving all main factions in holding the state together through “the devolution of power to distinct regions on a federal pattern.” In Fareed Zakaria’s new book, The Future of Freedom (2003), he concludes that diversity, properly handled, can be a source of strength in Iraq. “But power will have to be divided, shared and checked. The constitution of a new Iraq should create a federal state, with substantial local autonomy.” Added to these voices are such writers as those on the Indiana editorial pages of theBloomington Herald-Tribune, Fort Wayne Sentinel, and Hammond Tribune, who have also suggested federal solutions for Iraq. In the wake of conflicts in Afghanistan, Bosnia, Macedonia, Sri-Lanka, among others, the federal spectre has been raised for these ethnically divided societies, a sort of media catch-all to characterize various forms of regionalization, ethnic accommodation, deconcentration, and, of course, devolution of power and power sharing.
link
Structure, on its own, is an empty shell. The question is how can structure accomodate and improve what already exists? (Ask any smart corporate type.) In the case of Iraq, one result might be artificial borders, agressive, small, warring statelets, helpless, insecure and dominated by outside forces and funding. With the Capos trading outside to sell resources and the people living in fear of reprisals, bombs, arbitrary laws, etc. A gangster economy…warlords, fences, the last date trees dying, even the dirty water reduced to a trickle. Checkpoints and sadistic bureaucrats, on the take.
A more optimistic and worked out solution (such as implicit at link) would have a) have to have been implemented right away; b) have been welcomed by the Iraqis – doubtful, as national unity has always been a big thing with them.
Of course ‘ethnically divided’ is a smokescreen implemented to convince the TV watching public.

Posted by: Noirette | Oct 17 2006 19:47 utc | 24

Of course ‘ethnically divided’ is a smokescreen implemented to convince the TV watching public.
you’ve gotta be joking.

Posted by: slothrop | Oct 17 2006 20:15 utc | 25

Does the average American hate Jews, Blacks…Ethiopians, Australians, Mexicans, Greenlanders? Buddhists? Bahai? Pygmies? People from.. Brunei? Clones of Paris Hilton? The French cheese eaters?
I don’t think so.
Does the average Iraqi hate his Sunni neighbor? or Shiite neighbor? Or local Christian Mom? Or Greenlander? Or Buddhist..?
I don’t think so.
Ahhh… it is all different there. 19th cent. Orientalist crap survives!!! The ungovernable Ayrabs! Primitive people, such a shame, too sad, what can you do.

Posted by: Noirette | Oct 17 2006 20:48 utc | 26

noirette
as much as anyone here, i welcome the ambition to condemn american power as destructively racist and classist. but you’re out of your mind if you think the civil war in iraq is owed solely to u.s. occupation.
finding in the royal sign “arab” continuities of affinities among divers people in the m.e.–people divided by tribe, religious sectarianism, class, language–is also a kind of “orientalism.”

Posted by: slothrop | Oct 17 2006 22:01 utc | 27

From what I read of Salam Pax, Riverbend and Raed Jarrar, iraqis before the war felt themselves to first be iraqis and then etnic/religious group. I remember Riverbend writing that before the war she did not know who was shia and who was sunni. Of course these writers all come from the urban middle class, things might look different elsewhere.
I do not know what has happened in Iraq, but from what I remember the talk of civil war started long before an actual civil war started. Many of the early attacks were suspected (by iraqi bloggers and leftwingers on such sites as this) of being black-ops to trigger a civil war as peaceful protests under Sistani might otherwise force the US troops out. Guess we wont know until the archives are opened.
Now on the other hand tribal structures are probably in the front of identities. Just as people in former Yugoslavia are now a lot of etnicities. Back in the eighties they were mostly yugoslavian and spoke serbocroatian.

Posted by: A swedish kind of death | Oct 17 2006 22:20 utc | 28

it’s obvious in the literature acknowledged here at moa for the past 3 years, that any fantasy of panarabism/panislam(ism)–whatever fealty of common interests existed among arabs and moslems–is shattered by this war. cole’s sacred space, kiddie’s book on modern iran, the numerous works cited here on the viability of partition, nir rosen’s and galbraith’s recent books, etc etc. explain what is beyond any doubt now. the war(s) is clearly conflagrated now by indigenous struggle that is much more various and volatile than any heterogeneous “insurgency” against u.s. and nothing by this point in the catastrophe can be called a nationalist unification, let alone an “arab” confrontation against “the west.”

Posted by: slothrop | Oct 17 2006 23:46 utc | 29

another beaut, from the suskind book:

Bush listened, but not really. This was not where he wanted to be. He was marking time. “Let’s go for a drive,” he said to Abdullah, after a few minutes. “Just you and me. I’ll show you the ranch.”
And they marched off, in midsentence, to Bush’s pickup truck, leaving behind a phalanx of slack jawed advisers with what one later called “monarchy blues”-a realization, as he described it, that “ideals of representative government fade at moments like this into a feeling that things haven’t changed all that much since foreign affairs were the affairs of kings-how they got along, or didn’t, determined the fate of nations.”

But the discussions could get no traction. The Saudis wanted pressure on Sharon to release Arafat from confinement in Ramallah. Saud went over possible steps the United States could take. Bush stared blankly at them. They went down the items. Sometimes the President nodded, as though something sounded reasonable, but he offered little response.
And, after almost an hour of this, the Saudis, looking a bit perplexed, got up to go. It was as though Bush had never read the packet they sent over to the White House in preparation for this meeting: a terse, lean document, just a few pages, listing the Saudis’ demands and an array of options that the President might consider. After the meeting, a few attendees on the American team wondered why the President seemed to have no idea what the Saudis were after, and why he didn’t bother to answer their concerns or get any concessions from them, either, on the “war on terror.” There was not a more important conversation in the “war on terror” than a sit-down with Saudi Arabia. Several of the attendees checked into what had happened.
The Saudi packet, they found, had been diverted to Dick Cheney’s office. The President never got it, never read it. In what may have been the most important, and contentious, foreign policy meeting of his presidency, George W Bush was unaware of what the Saudis hoped to achieve in traveling to Crawford.

hohoho.

Posted by: slothrop | Oct 18 2006 1:18 utc | 30

the stupidity of bush, even in the quasi-history of suskind, rivals the worst vaudevillian farce. reading this sort of account, closing the eyes, one can only imagine don adamns in get smart wooing agent 99 & the irascible chief w/ nonsequitor nonsense disguised as secret knowledge explaining the inscrutable universe.
but, why would someone as ignorantly prideful as bush, concede so much authority to cheney and rove?
suskind explains the need, pursued largely by cheney, to insulate bush by providing the dimwit with consecutive moments of “plauisible deniability”:

The thinking of several former Nixon administration officials, including Cheney, was not that the break-in and similar actions were the problem. The problem was that the President should have been “protected” from knowledge of such activities.
A president, in this model, can even say, in a general way, that he’d be happy if something were to occur-and have his subordinates execute such wishes-and still retain what, during the Reagan administration, was termed “plausible deniability.” That was what Ronald Reagan essentially did by telling advisers that he wouldn’t mind if they found a way to get around congressional bans on aid to the antiCommunist contra rebels in Nicaragua, but then, when later questioned in a videotaped deposition, saying that he hadn’t “any inkling” of what they actually did.
For some presidents, like the first President Bush, this didn’t work. He demanded to know everything pertinent in making decisions, so he wouldn’t make mistakes. Presidents generally don’t like being surprised, or ending up on a “need to know” basis.
The idea of being inexplicitly briefed to water down accountability, or of using oft-reviled inefficiencies of government “process” to counteract the heightened transparency of the media age, is repugnant to them.
With this new George W Bush presidency, however, Cheney was able to shape his protective strategy in a particularly proactive way. Keeping certain knowledge from Bush-much of it shrouded, as well, by classification-meant that the President, whose each word circles [175] the globe, could advance various strategies by saying whatever was needed. He could essentially be “deniable” about his own statements. Whether Cheney’s innovations were tailored to match Bush’s inclinations, or vice versa, is almost immaterial. It was a firm fit. Under this strategic model, reading the entire NIE would be problematic for Bush: it could hem in the President’s rhetoric, a key weapon in the march to war. He would know too much.

explains a lot about the “cheney administration.”

Posted by: slothrop | Oct 19 2006 2:20 utc | 31

Not to mention Cheney himself may have “Pump Head Syndrome”. And why does it sound so right, even if it were’nt true, even though it probably is true.

Posted by: anna missed | Oct 19 2006 2:59 utc | 32

you’re out of your mind if you think the civil war in iraq is owed solely to u.s. occupation.
here’s what she said
Does the average Iraqi hate his Sunni neighbor? or Shiite neighbor? Or local Christian Mom? Or Greenlander? Or Buddhist..?
I don’t think so.

i spend way too much time on iraqi blogs, they confirm noirette. the gov trolls that hang out there all spread this meme that iraqi’s have been ‘dying to get at eachothers throat for years’
had the US not invaded, do i think a civil war would have broken out? no. in this regard it is owed to the US alone. we knew the likely weak areas, the seeds of discontent and we exploited them. we dug holes, planted the seeds and watered. but we didn’t make the seeds.

Posted by: annie | Oct 19 2006 5:10 utc | 33

you’re out of your mind if you think the civil war in iraq is owed solely to u.s. occupation.
Sorry, slothrop I’ll have to agree w/annie on this one…
After reading several Colin Thubron books, and working on campus in the Foreign Student Services dept, talking with many many Iraqi’s and ME students, I get the impression that the vast majority of muslims are secular and not religious. However, many are ritualistic in behavior when it comes to family ties etc..
I mean ritualistic in a good sense, not a dogmatic sense. Such as celebrations, weddings, family things etc..
American has only ever done one thing and that is to sow dissension, and discord in order to manipulate and create oppugnancy.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Oct 19 2006 5:32 utc | 34