Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 2, 2006
It is Cheap to Save the Planet

.. say the crazy green hippies of consultancy giant PricewaterhouseCoopers. A study by John Hawksworth, head of macroeconomics of PWC, shows that Carbondioxide emissions can be pushed back under todays level for a reasonable price.


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While "staying the cause" would more than double the output of CO2 over the next 50 years with catastrophic results, an adoption of several strategies could easily avoid the dangers of glabal warming.

The biggest reduction would come from energy savings being implemented, beyond the historic trend, through better isolation of houses and more economic use of fuels in transport. The second reduction step comes through less fossile fuel use for electricity generation, i.e adoption of more nuclear and/or alternative energy production methods. A third step could be achieved by capturing and storing CO2. The study itself names many more adoptable policies with smaller effects, like reforestation.

The big steps will have to be taken first by the G7 countries. Only they have the money and the means to do so. Developing countries will actually increase their output of CO2 until they have the infrastructure and basic economic level that allows the technologies and policy instruments to "trickle down".

The price to implement the policies is estimated to be one trillion US$ spread over some 30 years. That’s two years of the Pentagon’s budget, or as much as West Germany has payed to aquire East Germany. Hawksworth also points to other studies that even predict positive economic effects of adopting the strategies, i.e. no costs at all.

So what are we waiting for?

Comments

Here’s a radical suggestion…and a small piece of the solution:
How about eating locally-grown foods instead of doing stupid things like shipping oranges from Brazil to California “because they’re cheaper.” (…and the transportation sector wants the business!)

Posted by: Dr. Wellington Yueh | Oct 2 2006 18:12 utc | 1

Hell, for the $8 billion per month we’re spending in Iraq, we could _all_ be driving electric cars powered by plugging into a solar storage battery!

Posted by: cotterperson | Oct 2 2006 18:14 utc | 2

Billmon is too, too funny: How I’m Feeling at the Moment

Posted by: John B. | Oct 3 2006 1:03 utc | 3

@b
I can’t pull up the page to the study you linked to, and I haven’t been able to successfully navigate The Independent to read more than four paragraphs from their article. I’m not following the specific mechanics of this proposal.
I’m not an engineer, so I wasn’t aware that “capturing and storing carbon dioxide” was an option. If we can sequester carbon dioxide, then why not “capture and store” methane (a more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide by nearly an order of magnitude, and one that is now being released in increasing amounts from Siberia’s melting permafrost) as well?
As for suggestions like reforestation, of course I support that, but the reasons that we have not done so before now haven’t changed. We still have an expanding population that demands housing and arable land, as well as a (still) potent lumber lobby. The use of alternative fuels is fraught with their own sets of individual difficulties as well, or we would have already been using them.
Of course I support the reduction of atmospheric carbon dioxide, but I would like to know some more details about the specific “technologies and policy instruments” that G7 countries would have to adopt than your post provides. Can you fill in a few of these blanks, please?

Posted by: Monolycus | Oct 3 2006 7:04 utc | 4

@Monolycus:

Ironically, I share your skepticism. I suspect that “capturing and storing carbon dioxide” is one of those things where the policy wonks have just decided that this must be possible; in all likelihood, doing so uses more energy than you get by generating that carbon dioxide in the first place. (Of course, you could always go nuclear and use the energy to do this, which would work, in a manner of speaking…)

As for methane: methane (a) may not respond as well and (b) is volatile. Carbon dioxide, well, capture it in a tank, and you’re done as long as the tank doesn’t leak. You can process at your leisure. Methane? Probably the best thing to do would be to burn it and use the energy released to help capture the carbon dioxide that would create.

Also: note that this plan doesn’t call for any actual reduction in carbon dioxide until about 2030, in the meantime, there will be growth. If Lovelock or the other guy from NASA whose name escapes me is even remotely close to correct, then that will be the usual too little, too late.

Posted by: The Truth Gets Vicious When You Corner It | Oct 3 2006 7:22 utc | 5

Mono, try this link to PWC page that summarizes the report with a link to download the 67-page pdf.

Posted by: andrew in caledon | Oct 3 2006 7:52 utc | 6

There is a report from an UN panel on carbondioxide storage – IPCC Special Report on Carbon dioxide Capture and Storage. There are some situations where it can be applied for little costs.

Posted by: b | Oct 3 2006 8:10 utc | 7

@b, #7:

I want to read Chapter 3 in more detail. The executive summary does, however, answer one of my/Monolycus’ questions: they aren’t doing methane capture because “carbon dioxide capture” basically means “filtering carbon dioxide out of the stream of waste from a carbon source”, not “pulling carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere in general”. Since there aren’t any (industrial and intentional, at least) sources of methane, they can’t capture it. (Actually, it also settles a lot of the question about whether it’s worthwhile, with the answer being a semi-solid “yes”.)

Posted by: The Truth Gets Vicious When You Corner It | Oct 3 2006 8:49 utc | 8

b,
your link to the study is broken.
So temporarily freed from the obligation of reading the study before commenting I am sceptical that it will be cheap. I saw a similar assertion by a swedish researcher who turned out to be basing his thesis on the fact that oil and coal is not a big part of world economics, just some percent. From that he concluded that oil and coal are not that important…
Anyone who is not an economist probably spots the gaping hole in the argument.

Posted by: a swedish kind of death | Oct 4 2006 12:55 utc | 9