Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
August 17, 2006
The Freedom of Oil

The "democracy" argument on Iraq is melting away:

“Senior administration officials have acknowledged to me that they are considering alternatives other than democracy,” said one military affairs expert who received an Iraq briefing at the White House last month …

Here is Bush’s official (final?) replacement:

[L]eaving before we complete our mission would create a terrorist state in the heart of the Middle East, a country with huge oil reserves that the terrorist network would be willing to use to extract economic pain from those of us who believe in freedom.

(Emphasis added)

Comments

You mean we’re left with the truth?

Posted by: beq | Aug 17 2006 18:38 utc | 1

“Senior administration officials have acknowledged to me that they are considering alternatives other than democracy.”
Oh cool, this sounds like they’re toying with the Lon Nol option.

Posted by: Guthman Bey | Aug 17 2006 19:15 utc | 2

Juan Cole has a piece in today’s Salon about Mashhaddani, the speaker of parliament in Iraq, who impressed Bush so much in June, but has now turned very anti-American.
I wonder if our Man-Boy President had a chance to “look into the man’s soul” like he did with Putin? What is it; everytime he gives the thumbs up to someone, they turn anti-American in order to salvage their own reputations? Obviously our Man-Boy President hasn’t made the connection that it has something to do with him personally and his policies! Truly hilarious!
He’s like the rich guy who can’t get a date because he doesn’t bathe, use deodorant and brush his teeth, doesn’t know how to listen to people and is a loudmouthed jerk, and nobody has the heart to tell him. Every time he says something nice about someone; she has to say: “No, no, I never went out with him! NEVER!”
American foreign policy has been reduced to this!
If it weren’t for the fact that so many people were getting killed for no good reason, this Iraq fiasco would make excellent entertainment, as well as an excellent lesson about imperial hubris.

Posted by: PD | Aug 17 2006 20:08 utc | 3

Leaving before we complete our mission would create a terrorist state in the heart of the Middle East, a country with huge oil reserves.
But . . but I thought this war had nothing to do with oil! O say it ain’t so, George. Say it ain’t so!

Posted by: billmon | Aug 17 2006 20:09 utc | 4

Something’s missing from this picture. I mean, who really needs to possess an oilfield? We’ve never had any trouble buying oil from anyone, terrorists included.

Posted by: alabama | Aug 17 2006 20:20 utc | 5

Bush’s (Possible) Five-Point Iraq Exit Strategy

How easy would it be for the Iraq insurgents to import rockets from neighboring Iran? How hard would it be to hide those rockets in a wild and chaotic Baghdad? And what are the chances that insurgents could launch 30 to 40 rockets directly into the Green Zone in one day? The headlines around the world reading “500 U.S. Dead — Last Safe Haven Under Siege?” The result? Game over.

Posted by: beq | Aug 17 2006 20:21 utc | 6

“Senior administration officials have acknowledged to me that they are considering alternatives other than democracy.”
Saddam’s triumphant return!

Posted by: ran | Aug 17 2006 20:38 utc | 7

I said it somewhere on here a few weeks ago.
The Saddam Army will be remobised.
Now I look for the comment.

Posted by: Cloned Poster | Aug 17 2006 21:05 utc | 8

remobised. = remobilised.
fuck preview

Posted by: Cloned Poster | Aug 17 2006 21:06 utc | 9

remobised. = remobilised.
fuck preview

Posted by: Cloned Poster | Aug 17 2006 21:10 utc | 10

C’mon. The straight dope:
Fundamentally, the invasion of Iraq was and remains an instance of “market penetration” by military means (nothing new). This is a “peak oil” war at its very core, and “democracy blah, blah,” and the concurrent “clash of civilizations” (our fundies vs. their fundies) are utterly incidental. The mess in Iraq is, plain and simple, an oil grab instigated at the behest of Anglo-American Big Oil (primarily Exxon and BP) — core objective: getting back in the game.
Saddam specifically excluded Exxon, BP, and a couple of other western Big Oil giants from getting to play in any Iraqi oil field games back in the early 70’s, when he and his Baath Party nationalized Iraq’s oil riches.* This affront to US/British mega-energy-corp hegemony has simmered and festered all this time, but was finally “rectified” the day US tanks rolled into Baghdad and directly to the Iraqi Oil Ministry — “Mission Accomplished!” Exxon and BP in — “foreign suitors” out.
[Also, apparently, Saddam had been flirting with switching to European “euros” rather than US “dollars” as the currency for Iraq’s oil exchange — one more aggravating factor (added to the fundamental raison d’etre mentioned above) that tipped the scale to war.]
The only, truly dreaded status quo ante here would be the re-exclusion and explusion of Anglo-American Big Oil from Iraq. Period! Anything other than that, including the installation of a new brutal dictator, or splitting the country, or whatever else, “smells like “victory” to “The Decider,” Bruce “Strangelove” Cheney, James Baker the 3rd, and the real puppet masters — the BOD’s of Big Oil. That is the core of this whole ball of wax. All the rest is window dressing.
This is not to say that the titanic “clash of civilizations” we are witnessing is no big deal. Radicals on both sides of this equation are contemplating “nuclear exchange” as a means of settling the score.
My point is that a century of Anglo-American plunder across the Middle East and elsewhere — US and British foreign policy captive to and a “tool” or instrument of Big Oil — is the true and fundamental “reason” for the invasion of Iraq and so much of all this other conflict we are seeing.
*This is why Hugo Chavez is on the “shit list,” too.

Posted by: manonfyre | Aug 17 2006 21:12 utc | 11

Great work, b.

Posted by: Argh | Aug 17 2006 21:56 utc | 12

Any projection for the future in Iraq that does not accomodate for the sheer incompetence of the occupier is probably incomplete.

Posted by: jony_b_cool | Aug 17 2006 22:33 utc | 13

Manofyre, it is not about oil companies per se (though some in the GWB admin might have their interests to heart), it is about controlling the territory where the oil is, no matter who pumps it refines it distributes it etc.
The Iraqis were supposed to be able to pay for the ‘reconstruction’ after US shock and awe with oil money, now they have to buy black market gas and import kerosene from Kuwait. They profited more from the oil even under the restrictive ‘oil for food’ program. (That label already said it all.)
Oil companies are independent business actors, funded by investors world-wide. They are the only ones who can manage to do what is required, so all other actors are dependent on them, ask Chavez, he knows a bit about that. The companies operate in a very uncertain risky environment (politics etc.) and are wary, as they have been abused in the past. Their expertise, their people and equipment, have been degraded badly because instability did not permit them to forge ahead. It is a sector that can only perform if it can make secure very long term plans, and be, in a certain measure, sheltered from market and other forces. That they do not get. They are just supposed to pump and pump…go for windfalls when possible…
Look at Prudhoe Bay – corroded pipes? Err? Either they wanted to shut it down, or had not the money/people to maintain properly. Much of the infrastructure, there and elsewhere is clapped out. It is all run on a shoe string, and is beset with horrific problems of every kind – from political (Nigeria, Iraq…) to obtaining widgets or workers on the ground.
The Anglo imperialists have to deal with all that, and it is too difficult. There is a schism between aims and what can be accomplished beyond coercing states to be quiet ‘clients.’ (like Saudi, facing multiple problems today.) The oil biz. cannot function with strife about. It is impossible.
Once again, it appears that reality bites, and unrealistic expectations hold sway. Nationalising of fossil fuels is looked on as anathema, poor dark ugly people hogging resources, the underprivileged using the ‘oil’ or ‘gas’ weapon, spit on them, oh the horror. Putin will get his comeuppance, as for Chavez, weeeelllll….Iran! how disgusting…and so on.
But the Anglos.or Westernn Gvmts. cannot manage to exploit the resources. They can’t do it themselves and bunker busters don’t help, the soldiers can do nothing, etc. Only the oil companies can try… under certain very specific rigid conditions.
One point of view..there are other stories to tell.

Posted by: Noirette | Aug 17 2006 23:16 utc | 14

The oil bidness has functioned just fine with the amount of strife in the world. Record profits, in fact. The pipeline was allowed to rot on purpose. Just the small bump in oil prices that the news caused would pay for all the repairs necessary from excess profits. The environment be damned. Everyone knows about Exxon’s profits. But how many of you know about the Koch (promounced Coke) bros? They own the largest, most profitable privately held company in the world. Oil services, yep. Arch-conservatives, love Bush, and very, very low key.

Posted by: Malooga | Aug 18 2006 0:43 utc | 15

So now we’re at the stage of who is going to be the Iraq version of Zahedi?

Posted by: Dismal Science | Aug 18 2006 10:53 utc | 16

@Dismal Science: my bet is on General Shawani

The quasi-colonial nature of the Iraqi government may not be obvious to outsiders who see that it has been democratically elected. But its independence has always been a mirage.
For instance, its own intelligence organization should be essential to a government fighting for its life against a violent insurgency. At first sight, Iraq might appear to have one under Maj.-Gen. Mohammed al-Shahwani, but it has no budget because it is funded directly by the CIA, to the tune of $110 million to $160 million a year and, not surprising, it is to the CIA that it first reports.

Posted by: b | Aug 18 2006 13:47 utc | 17

@ alabama,
why buy the milk, when you can steal the cow?
….and then sell the milk for a huuuuge profit due to the market instability you created while stealing the cow?

Posted by: gylangirl | Aug 18 2006 20:16 utc | 18