Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
July 21, 2006
WB: The All Against the All

Billmon:

Outside of Iraq the social and political cement hasn’t dissolved yet (although the Palestinian territories are getting close and Lebanon is always vulnerable) but the strains are enormous and growing.

It’s been the neocon habit to pooh-pooh stability as a false comfort. But if something isn’t done to restrain the hatreds and keep them from multiplying, one of these days soon the region (and all who depend on the region’s oil) may find out what it feels like to trade in a false comfort for a real nightmare.

The All Against the All

Comments

Great Work. Great Title. Yes, plenty of cats out there.
I liked this line especially:
Shrub should have remembered the line from Kipling’s poem: “If you can dream — and not make dreams your master . . ”
However, I wonder about this line: “Outside of Iraq the social and political cement hasn’t dissolved yet..” Perhaps, the social and political cement outside of Iraq may be getting stronger.

Posted by: Rick Happ | Jul 21 2006 5:59 utc | 1

Lebanon effect in Iraq. I bet some Generals there are very, very nervous.
U.S. Says Attacks in Iraq Up 40 Percent

The statement by Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani came as U.S. military officials reported a 40 percent increase in the daily average of attacks in the Baghdad area.
U.S. spokesman Maj. Gen. William Caldwell said there has been an average of 34 attacks a day against U.S. and Iraqi forces in the capital over the past five days. The daily average for the period June 14 until July 13 was 24 a day, he said.

Posted by: b | Jul 21 2006 8:12 utc | 2

Who’s president? “I have never seen a man more committed to Israel.”
In Mideast Strife, Bush Sees a Step To Peace

In the administration’s view, the new conflict is not just a crisis to be managed. It is also an opportunity to seriously degrade a big threat in the region, just as Bush believes he is doing in Iraq. Israel’s crippling of Hezbollah, officials also hope, would complete the work of building a functioning democracy in Lebanon and send a strong message to the Syrian and Iranian backers of Hezbollah.

One former senior administration official said Bush is only emboldened by the pressure from U.N. officials and European leaders to lead a call for a cease-fire. U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan demanded yesterday that the fighting in Lebanon stop.
“He thinks he is playing in a longer-term game than the tacticians,” said the former official, who spoke anonymously so he could discuss his views candidly. “The tacticians would say: ‘Get an immediate cease-fire. Deal first with the humanitarian factors.’ The president would say: ‘You have an opportunity to really grind down Hezbollah. Let’s take it, even if there are other serious consequences that will have to be managed.’

Many Mideast experts warn that there is a dangerous consequence to this worldview. They believe that Israel, and the United States by extension, is risking serious trouble if it continues with the punishing air strikes that are producing mounting casualties. The history of the Middle East is replete with examples of the limits of military power, they say, noting how the Israeli campaign in Lebanon in the early 1980s helped create the conditions for the rise of Hezbollah.
They warned that the military campaign is turning mainstream Lebanese public opinion against Israel rather than against Hezbollah, which instigated the violence. The attacks also make it more difficult for the Lebanese government to regain normalcy. And what seems now to be a political winner for the president — the House overwhelmingly approved a resolution yesterday backing Israel’s position — could become a liability if the fighting expands to Syria or if the United States adds Lebanon to Iraq and Afghanistan as a country to which U.S. troops are deployed.

Fred S. Zeidman, a Texas venture capitalist who is active in Jewish affairs and has been close to the president for years, said the current crisis shows the depth of the president’s support for Israel. “He will not bow to international pressure to pressure Israel,” Zeidman said. “I have never seen a man more committed to Israel.”

Posted by: b | Jul 21 2006 8:25 utc | 3

If that’s the shit they’ve filled Thief-in-Chief’s head w/ (#3), the world might be better off if a sane general sat in oval office for a bit… Just a thght…I don’t believe everything I think…
Moving on around the globe…
Ethiopia Invaded Somalia – not joking, I’m afraid…
International observers warned that the country was on the brink of a major conflict that could be as bloody as the civil war 15 years ago which killed 300,000 people.
 
Ethiopia sent troops to bolster the weak transitional government and threatened to “crush” the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) if they attack Baidoa, the town where the government is based.
 
More than 100 Ethiopian army vehicles were seen entering Somalia, and witnesses reported that troops in Ethiopian army uniform were already in Baidoa.
 
The Ethiopian government has always denied that any of their troops are in Somalia, but last night it was predicted that as many as 5000 Ethiopian troops could have already crossed the border.
 
The Islamists now control much of southern Somalia after defeating an alliance of US-back warlords in Mogadishu last month.

The US, who expressed “grave concern” at the latest developments, believe that the Islamists are sheltering militants linked to Al Qaeda.
link

Posted by: jj | Jul 21 2006 9:17 utc | 4

@jj,
why yes jj (et al), does it bother anyone else that Paul Wolfowitz, President of the World Bank, see’s “Africa: As A Continent of Opportunities?

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Jul 21 2006 11:15 utc | 5

Hi, Uncle. Was worried that you didn’t check in tonight!! I can’t sleep tonight – it just feels like they’re ripping our planet apart…….

Posted by: jj | Jul 21 2006 11:26 utc | 6

Israeli Apartheid

Imagine, if you will, a modern apartheid state with first, second and eleventh class citizens, all required to carry identification specifying their ethnic origin. First class citizens are obliged to serve in the armed forces, kept on ready reserve status until in their forties, and accorded an impressive array of housing, medical, social security, educational and related benefits denied all others.
Second class citizens are exempted from military service and from a number of the benefits accorded citizens of the first class. They are issued identity documents and license plates that allow them to be profiled by police at a distance. Second class citizens may not own land in much of the country and marriages between them and first class citizens are not recognized by the state. Second class citizens are sometimes arrested without trial and police torture, while frowned upon and occasionally apologized for, commonly occurs.
Citizens of the eleventh class, really not citizens at all, have no rights citizens of the first class or their government are bound to respect. Their residence is forbidden in nearly nine-tenths of the country, all of which they used to own. The areas left to them are cut up into smaller and smaller portions weekly, by high walls, free fire zones and hundreds of checkpoints manned by the army of the first class citizens, so that none can travel a dozen miles in any direction to work, school, shopping, a job, a farm, a business or a hospital without several long waits, humiliating searches and often arbitrary denials of the right to pass or to return. Posh residential settlements for the first class citizens with protecting gun towers and military bases are built with government funds and foreign aid on what used to be the villages and farms and pastures of the eleventh class citizens. The settlers are allotted generous additional housing and other subsidies, allowed to carry weapons and use deadly force with impunity against the former inhabitants, and are connected with the rest of first class territory by a network of of first-class citizen only roads.
Citizens of the eleventh class are routinely arrested, tortured, and held indefinitely without trial. Political activism among them is equated to “terrorism” and the state discourages such activity by means including but not limited to the kidnapping of suspects and relatives of suspects, demolition of their family homes, and extralegal assassination, sometimes at the hands of a death squad, or at others times by lobbing missiles or five hundred pound bombs into sleeping apartment blocks or noonday traffic. Passports are not issued to these citizens, and those who take advantage of scarce opportunities to study or work abroad are denied re-entry.
Our first duty is to tell the truth to each other. We must combat among ourselves the bogus historical narratives which permit indifference to US policy in the Middle East in general, and support of Israeli apartheid in particular. The churchgoers among us urgently, publicly and repeatedly must confront and debunk the nonsense which holds that “wars and rumors of wars” are something predestined to happen in the biblical holy land for what they are – bad scripture and fake history. We need to interrupt, correct and school everyone who talks to us about a “cycle of violence” in the Holy Land, as though some raggedy fool with a suicide belt, or a few hundred fighters with small arms are or ever have been equivalent to the devastation wrought by the established gulags, checkpoints, airborne firepower, economic strangulation, house demolitions and nuclear armed might of the Israeli state. The two sides do not have access to anything like equal means of inflicting violence, and so cannot be equally culpable or equally responsible for stopping that violence.
We need to catch up with the rest of the civilized world, and talk about what we can do to emphatically withdraw our support from the apartheid state of Israel and its immoral and illegal occupation regime. The Presbyterian church, for example, has in the past considered selective divestiture from Israel and from US companies who profit from the occupation, as have the Anglicans. Both might do so again. What can our churches, our unions, our local elected officials, our young people do? What will we do?
Apartheid in South Africa eventually bit the dust mostly because the inhabitants of that country, black, brown and white resisted it, putting their bodies and lives on the line. Their resistance was aided and abetted materially, financially, politically and spiritually by people of good will the world over. Someday the sun will rise on a post-apartheid Jerusalem, one that belongs to all the people who live there of whatever origin. This is bound to happen because Palestinians as well as substantial numbers of Israeli Jews do and will continue to resist the regime. They will do what they can. What will we do?

Posted by: John Francis Lee | Jul 21 2006 12:01 utc | 7

History repeats itself, only faster. It took Macnamera years to go from the strategic wizard of the Vietnam war to the debt collector for the rich at the WBank, but Wolfie went from the Iraq cakewalk to WBank at lightspeed.

Posted by: citizen k | Jul 21 2006 12:09 utc | 8

jj,
prompted by the same news, I wrote an overview of the political situation on the horn of Africa over at European Tribune.

Posted by: a swedish kind of death | Jul 21 2006 15:16 utc | 9

Billmon did forget one war party, the Israeli didn´t: U.N. Post Hit in Israel-Hezbollah Fighting

A U.N.-run observation post near the border took a direct hit Friday during fighting between Israel and Hezbollah militants. Israel resumed airstrikes on Lebanon and prepared for a possible ground invasion, warning people in the south to flee.

Meanwhile, the Israeli army said Hezbollah rockets hit the U.N. post near Zarit, just inside Israel, but a U.N. officer said it was an artillery shell fired by the Israeli Defense Force. The facility was severely damaged, but nobody was injured as the Ghanian troops manning the post were inside bomb shelters at the time of the strike, the U.N. official said.

Israel appears to have decided that a large-scale incursion across the border was the only way to push Hezbollah back after 10 days of the heaviest bombardment of Lebanon in 24 years failed to do so. But mounting civilian casualties and the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Lebanese could limit the amount of time Israel has to achieve its goals, as international tolerance for the bloodshed and destruction runs out.
Top Israeli officials met Thursday night to decide how big a force to send in, according to senior military officials. They said Israel won’t stop its offensive until Hezbollah is forced behind the Litani River, 20 miles north of the border _ creating a new buffer zone in a region that saw 18 years of Israeli presence since 1982.

That Israel is only now deciding to call up significant reserves is quite interesting. It looks like they were not prepared to do so. But anybody who would have thought through this “engagement” should have concluded that air-strikes will not lead to any “solution” and would have decided either not to engage or engage with immediately following ground troops.
I do get the impression that Olmert and Perez have been snickert into this by the Israeli military.

Posted by: b | Jul 21 2006 16:14 utc | 10

nice list, billmon. intractable horrors. perhaps enough factiousness to permit divide & rule to succeed.

Posted by: slothrop | Jul 21 2006 16:33 utc | 11

@ JFL:
That description of Israeli apartheid also sounds a bit like US. Substitute white, black, and native american. Promised Land, Manifest Destiny, survival of the (badass-est) fittest.

Posted by: catlady | Jul 21 2006 16:39 utc | 12