Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 12, 2006
WB: Clear and Present Danger

Billmon:

When you combine this intelligence with what we already know about the country’s leader — an unstable, impulsive man who is deeply unpopular with his own people, but who believes God has chosen him to destroy his country’s enemies — it’s clear the international community has an extremely serious WMD problem on its hands.

This sounds like another job for the coalition of the willing. While we may not be certain the regime’s intentions are aggressive, we can’t afford to take chances. After all, we don’t want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud.

Clear and Present Danger

Comments

“…but who believes God has chosen him to destroy his country’s enemies”

I take exception with this statement because:
a) I don’t really think he believes that. I think GW’s biggest “ism” is me-first-ism. Period. Religion is just another sop to him.
b) It just validifies stupid comments like this one about whether he’s Gawd’s ‘chosen man’ or not. First someone says that he isn’t diety’s chosen man, and then before you know it the wingnuts want “equal time for balance” and everyone’s head explodes.
…but that last part will probably happen anyway, so…

Posted by: Caleb | Apr 12 2006 20:27 utc | 1

I agree with the FA article. The US is seeking and has about primacy in any military field including nukes.
But to what gain? Anyone who doesn´t like US primacy (why should one?) already came up with a counterstrategy. That is why the Russians and Chinese are not modernizing their nuke forces.
Those authors and other current US strategists assume it is all about nukes. It is not. It is about economy, availability of resources and the booster weapon of moral justification. It is about people on the grounf. You can not buy these longterm with nukes.
That mistake may take millions of lifes like mine (or 100s millions?) but it will not prevail.
Such single minded strategy will sink the US into a failed state.
Is that a plan?

Posted by: b | Apr 12 2006 20:41 utc | 2

Jesus fucking Christ….Iran Could Produce Nuclear Bomb in 16 Days, U.S. Says

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Apr 12 2006 21:23 utc | 3

See, they told you not to sweat the global warming.

Posted by: vidkun | Apr 12 2006 21:27 utc | 4

“Such single minded strategy will sink the US into a failed state.
Is that a plan?”

@B maybe. Who knows. I mean it wouldn’t be unreasonable for these greedheads to conclude that if the resources are running out and there is no more to be got, if you can’t boost supply the only alternative is to reduce demand.
The bit I don’t quite understand is the mad accumulation of wealth these types are indulging in at the moment. It doesn’t matter what that wealth is collected in, once demand has been reduced, everything will be
worth less/worthless.
Is there some part of this we don’t yet comprehend. I mean obviously ‘some’ other people will be needed to keep the greedheads in the manner to which they are accustomed but surely not even these morons know that little history.
That is when the spoilt elite reduces demand in this time honored fashion, it doesn’t really matter how much they have accumulated before the fact, once the shake-up is over what they ‘own’ is only theirs for as long as they can hold onto it.
The few others left alive will take what they need from the former elites whose power derived from the state of the world before the ruction.
After the ruction power will belong to whoever is the hungriest.
Iran is a good example of this, the Brits and French and Russians spent decades fighting over Persia and reduced the nation to chaos as they pushed forward the claims of each leader they ‘owned’. A simple equation, buy a bloke who has claims on the throne, help him into power and then he will help your nation. Trouble was all of these putative kings came from generations of elites. Someone in the dim and distant past had been a robber baron, but these types all regarded their position as being their due.
When the dust settled the new king, the shah, was a former russian corporal hired by one of the ‘leaders’ to be his personal bodyguard.
Staying alive is the most ‘valuable’ thing anyone can do. Keeping a low profile far more important than owning anything. Having too much wealth before the storm will just attract attention.
Really such thoughts are probably giving these quite limited thinkers too much credit.
They are wrestling with ‘the global balance sheet’ on a daily basis and rarely stick their heads over the parapet unless it is to re-assure themselves today’s take is gonna come in on target. They don’t do any situational analysis until things have started to go wrong in which case it is probably too late.
Yep the US is most certainly a ‘rogue state’ and has been for most of the time any of us have been on this planet.
The concern is though that people have been encouraged to imagine that all is required to do to ‘solve’ a problem is identify it. Cause once a problem has been identified one calls in the ‘experts’ then sits back and waits for the problem to be ‘fixed’.
This is not that sort of a problem. Entrusting anyone else to solve this mess means that large numbers of people must delegate their authority and power to him/her.
Even if the fixer upper started off with the best intentions, by the time he/she is able to fix Jack Shit he/she will become so corrupted by all of this power and authority that a real fix is improbable.
This one has to be fixed by people representing themself and their families for themself and their families.
However the population of the US are either a long way from being convinced of that option or feel themselves to be so disempowered that they can’t credibly convince themselves it could work.
That leaves only one other option and one that it seems many people have inwardly resigned themselves to. That is that the people outside the US will make the US and it’s acolytes ‘see reason’.
This is by far the worst option. Well it’s not as bad as large chunks of the rest of the world being nuked, but it’s up there.
Even if the people from outside begin with honourable intentions, if they are playing with other’s futures and not their own, they too will become corrupted by this.
Despite the bullshit slime oozing out of the TV set, all wars, invasions, situations that lead to one group of people having power over another group, end in cruelty, murder and mayhem.
When americans acknowledge this is when the US will cease being a rogue state.

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 12 2006 21:59 utc | 5

The above, (my post) is as much bullshit as the following massive lie: Flight 93 recording played for Moussaoui jurors that’s been reported about 800 goddamn times today on the radio…
Digital Morphing: For when you absolutely, positively need fake audio & video overnight
Further, I spent severals hours to no avail, hunting down information on the Flight 93 cockpit recording’s just to see if there was a distinct difference in what the Moussaoui Jurors heard of the Flight recordings. I wanted to see if these were recordings of the recordings or the official FDR. e.g., Or a copy thereof.
Every airliner is required to have two black boxes: 1) A Flight Data Recorder (FDR) and, 2) A Cockpit Voice Recorder (CVR). The black boxes are actually painted orange. The FDR records a variety of data concerning the aircraft: speed, direction, engine settings, etc. Approximately 50 types of data are recorded for each trip or series of trips for 25 hours. The CVR records the last 30 minutes of all transmissions and receptions made through the crew’s headphones, plus there is a recorder in the cockpit. Black boxes are mounted in the rear of the aircraft, which is usually the least damaged section in a crash.
Interestingly enough, the recorder’s crash-survivable memory units (CSMU). THE CSMU IS ALMOST INDESTRUCTIBLE. It is housed within a stainless-steel shell that contains titanium or aluminum and a high-temperature insulation of dry silica material.” “It is designed to withstand HEAT OF UP TO 2,000 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT FOR ONE HOUR, salt water for at least 30 days, immersion in a variety of liquids such as jet fuel and lubricants, AND AN IMPACT OF 3,400 G’s. I find it quite convenient that out of a total of EIGHT BLACK BOXES only this one is able to be reconstucted because the dammage was so bad, but they can find a goddamned passport belonging to one of the hijackers.

Posted by: Uncle $cam | Apr 12 2006 22:09 utc | 6

billmon has 2 more iran posts

Posted by: annie | Apr 13 2006 1:30 utc | 7

uncle, there were people that who came forward claiming they were in the search teams and found 3 of the boxes. plus, the recordings of the air traffic controllers have sort of vanished or were destroyed or something.
i have gotten more milage out of that arkin piece (linking friends etc), you posted it a couple years ago. thanks for highlighting it again. 1999! imagine wapo printing something like that in todays world. w/all the osama videos, yeah right

Posted by: annie | Apr 13 2006 1:36 utc | 8

Anyone besides me simply refuse to read a post w/no name?
Uncle, thank goddess they did “find” the passport. It told us immediately the whole deal was a false flag operation.

Posted by: jj | Apr 13 2006 1:49 utc | 9

“Anyone besides me simply refuse to read a post w/no name?”
would you read a post be someone named kk ll mm or nn?

Posted by: bianco | Apr 13 2006 2:33 utc | 10

If this cockpit recording were real it would have been drummed thru the media 24/7 at the time. It shows up now at the closing stage of a curious trial? If they were really competent it would have been found laying within a metre of the fireproof passport.

Posted by: Allen/Vancouver | Apr 13 2006 2:50 utc | 11

jj, i read posts w/names or not. why not? anyone can just put any ol’ name on anyway?? you must be a kick live, stubborn i suppose.

Posted by: annie | Apr 13 2006 2:55 utc | 12

I was listening to Ed Schultz today and I guess he had Sy Hersh on yesterday. He replayed some of the show, a small clip. According to Hersh, plenty of elites are worried about Bushies belief God is working through him.
I think Bush is a nut and should be put in a strait jacket before he presses the wrong button. This is really over the top. Although, Cheney likely won’t let him play with the case or know the codes. He not grown up enough.

Posted by: jdp | Apr 13 2006 4:01 utc | 13

Annie, dunno – that’s why I threw it out for discussion. Just makes my skin crawl….Reminds one of who could be out there lurking…anyone can come up w/something that means something to them to use as sig…that someone isn’t even comfortable doing that is disturbing to me…I guess I’m alone in that.

Posted by: jj | Apr 13 2006 5:18 utc | 14

Good god.
So is 16 days (Uncle $ link to Bloomberg article) the new 45 minutes? I think we should be told.
Lest we forget: Tony Bliar, aka Prime Minister’s Iraq statement to Parliament, 24 September 2002:

The dossier we publish gives the answer. The reason is because his chemical, biological and nuclear weapons programme is not an historic leftover from 1998. The inspectors aren’t needed to clean up the old remains. His WMD programme is active, detailed and growing. The policy of containment is not working. The WMD programme is not shut down. It is up and running.
The dossier is based on the work of the British Joint Intelligence Committee. For over 60 years, beginning just prior to WWII, the JIC has provided intelligence assessments to British Prime Ministers. Normally its work is secret. Unusually, because it is important we explain our concerns over Saddam to the British people, we have decided to disclose these assessments. I am aware, of course, that people are going to have to take elements of this on the good faith of our intelligence services. But this is what they are telling me the British Prime Minister and my senior colleagues. The intelligence picture they paint is one accumulated over the past four years. It is extensive, detailed and authoritative.
It concludes that Iraq has chemical and biological weapons, that Saddam has continued to produce them, that he has existing and active military plans for the use of chemical and biological weapons, which could be activated within 45 minutes, including against his own Shia population; and that he is actively trying to acquire nuclear weapons capability.

Posted by: Dismal Science | Apr 13 2006 9:39 utc | 15

Ah, I see Billmon’s picked up Uncle’s link to 16 days (kudos), and also makes point re: 45 minutes. (I was reading his posts in order of posting, hadn’t got to Deja vu x3 yet.)

Posted by: Dismal Science | Apr 13 2006 9:47 utc | 16