|
WB: Clean Hands
Of course, being a bunch of centrist weenies — like the dominant eurocrats within the Olive Tree coalition — the Dems in power almost certainly would do no such thing. In fact power doesn’t really seem to interest them much any more. They are, as a friend of mine puts it, much more comfortable whining about the way others use power than actually getting any for themselves.
Clean Hands
Okay, first a bit of unadulterated praise. Billmon is a genius. I don’t mean that in the colloquial sense of somebody who’s brighter than normal. Billmon in fact sees things others don’t, draws connections they can’t, and presents a comprehensive, internally consistent vision of what is to come that is deeply disturbing and, alas, quite probable.
A friend of mine who is a former fairly high official in the US State Department (a Democrat who held office under Reagan, no less) said that a politician who combined anti-immigrant rhetoric with support for national health care could remake American politics. I mentioned the concept to my 16 year old son, and his response was “sort of like nationalist socialism?” We looked at each other and laughed, and not because we thought it was funny.
It seems to me that the United States is certainly headed in the direction of “managed democracy.” I’m reminded of a review of A Clockwork Orange, which described that dystopia: there are elections, but the ruling party always wins. I think that this is exactly what the Republicans are aiming for. They don’t just want to win elections; they want never to lose again. In fact, given the scale of corruption, they can’t afford ever to lose again. The problem is, they can’t simply dispense with the fiction of democracy (and it has in many ways become a fiction in the United States). The answer is simple: cozy up to the big money, use nationalist rhetoric to keep the sheeple happy, and throw the oppositions enough bones to stay in their comfy doghouses.
The problem with the current Republican approach is that, to put it frankly, these people are fucking incompetent. They’re just not any good at doing the things that governments actually have to do. For a party that needs at least the appearance of support from the public, this is hazardous. Mussolini, for all his myriad faults, really did sort of ensure that the trains ran on time, and Hitler and the Nazis were relatively effective at actually operating a modern industrial state. The “people” can be swayed by rhetoric, promises, and wars for a while, but if too many of them are unemployed or lack medical care, they start getting pissed off.
That makes me wonder if Bush is not perhaps a transitional figure in American history. There is no doubt that the Republican party has lunged far rightward over the last 25 years, and that Bush is completely comfortable with its emerging nationalist Christian ideology. At the same time, Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, and the rest are all products of the old Republican machine, a machine that thought that compromise in politics was not necessarily deadly and that, if nothing else, had a certain sense of noblesse oblige towards the unwashed masses.
The Republicans’ policies (economic, foreign, domestic, environmental — take your pick) are leading the United States towards economic catastrophe. I don’t believe this particular group are smart enough or ruthless enough to keep control. The Democrats, on the other hand, have shown themselves utterly incapable of understanding the truly weird shit going on in American society, like nearly 2/3 of the people polled thinking schools should teach evolutin and creationism. I have unfortunately seen this first hand very recently — yesterday, actually. I attended a small fundraiser for Tim Kaine, the Democratic candidate for governor of Virginia. He gave a nice little talk, describing the problems facing the Commonwealth, his solutions, his background, and why we should support him. It was all very intelligent, very well thought out, very typically Democrat. I asked my son afterwards what he thought. His response was “He’ll lose.” Why? “Because he’s boring.”
The American people appear increasingly incapable of differentiating reality from entertainment. The Democrats just want things to be like they used to be, where sometimes they won, sometimes they lost, and afterwards everybody went and had drinks together. I have no doubt that, if the Democrats were to regain both houses of Congress and the White House, they would in fact act exactly like the Olive Tree Coalition. They do not realize that politics is no longer a spectator sport, that losing has permanent consequences, and that the world is changing faster than they ever imagined.
Which is why Billmon is probably right. The United States has seen leaders along the lines of what he’s describing, most prominently Huey Long. A right-wing movement that combines populism and nationalism, while quietly protecting the interests of the big corporations, could find itself astoundingly successful. We would still have a Constitution, except that the “no law” part about speech and religion wouldn’t really mean no law, and the stuff about no arrests without warrants wouldn’t apply to terrorists. There would still be elections, although only true loyal Merikuns could run. Life in its outward forms would not be that different, except, of course, for the chaos that Peak Oil and global warming are going to cause. If anything, these factors make a cornpone fascist regime even more likely. Heaven forbid that the people actually have to change their lifestyles to adjust!
So, then, what is to be done? Being progressive or liberal or even moderate could become a dubious occupation in the United States in the not too distant future. So we can either go home and quietly tend our gardens ala Candide, or we can start studying our Lenin.
I’ve asked this question before, and I’ll ask it again: What would have happened if the Reichsbanner had gone into the streets to fight the Brownshirts head-on?
Put on your ghost shirts.
Posted by: Aigin | Oct 3 2005 20:23 utc | 12
The essence of what made the twentieth century work was Henry Ford’s insight that he had to pay his employees enough to afford what they were building, not just what he had to get enough of them to show up on a daily basis.
Supply side economics doesn’t work forever. The rich cannot cook the golden goose and collect its eggs.
The economy is a convective cycle, with energy in the form of labor, materials and ideas rising up, while wealth, civil order and social security precipitate down. Supply side theory has created a situation where far more has been rising then is effectively used or precipitating down and the results are huge storm clouds of surplus wealth boiling over a parched economy. For reference, consider where the money the government borrows would go, if it were not being recycled through the public sector. The investment and asset markets are awash in cash and this money would just increase the inflationary effect. Government borrowing is effectively a nationalization of surplus wealth, but rather than actually taking it, the revenue stream of the government is being transferred to those with surplus wealth in the first place, which only adds to the problem.
In 1996, Bob Dole had a campaign slogan, “We want you to keep more of your money in your pocket.” My first thought was, Well thank God it isn’t my money, or it would be worthless.” The logic behind this insight is that as a medium of exchange, money is actually a form of public commons, much like the highway system. To use the roads as an analogy, it would be as if every time a new road was built, everyone tried to claim as much as possible. The eventual result would be that everything would be paved over and no one would be able to get anywhere. We are close to reaching that situation with our monetary system, as every aspect of life is judged according to the bottom line and the economy is still about to seize up.
I first started questioning economic pronouncements when trying to figure out how Paul Volcker cured inflation by raising interest rates. Yes, it is started by loose money, but reverse engineering in not always so simple. By raising interest rates, his solution for the oversupply of money was to raise the cost of using it. The economy slowed. How do you absorb surplus currency in circulation by slowing the economy? Government borrowing is what brought inflation under control, after supply side economics squeezed it out of the general economy, the government skimmed it off the top and then spent it. As public spending supports private investment, rather then competing with it, the effect was compounded. This surplus was effectively absorbed by October of 1987. At which point, Greenspan opened the gate again.
The boom of the 80’s and 90’s had as much to do with the baby boom going through its most productive years.
The fact that Social Security is a direct transfer is one of the primary reasons it is so efficient. Only as much money can be saved as can be invested and there isn’t enough investment vehicles in the current situation to support the cash out there. It is a situation similar to the electric industry. As it would be prohibitively expensive to build the battery storage for the amounts in question, electricity has to be used as it is generated. Creating the investment vehicles necessary to store private accounts would be like storage batteries for the electric industry.
Government budgeting is a mess and the problem with the line item veto is that it would place most of the power of the purse in the hands of the president, but a way around this would be to break the bills into their constituent items and have each legislator assign a percentage value to each one. Then re-assemble them in order of preference and have the president draw the line at what is to be funded. Not only would this break up the budgetary log jams which make over spending irresistible, but it would take away a lot of the power this process gives to the legislative leadership and parties and returns it to the level of the individual legislators. While the buck really would stop with the president. Democracy is a bottom up process and the Republic is a top down entity. This would clarify that relationship. It is this congealing of power in the legislative branch which is the source of much current corruption.
Money and government are two sides of the same coin. One is rights, the other is responsibilities. Money is like processed sugar, so if we were to learn to maintain a more organic, wholistic society and maintain wealth and value within every aspect of our lives and not continually drain reductionistic units out to put in some bank, then government would be forced to organize itself along similar lines.
I see liberalism as social expansion and conservatism as civil consolidation. Those institutions which expand knowledge/power, such as education, media, sciences, tend to be inherently liberal. Those which consolidate this energy, such as business and government, tend to be inherently conservative. The government social programs of the last century, created, a form of conservative liberalism, often referred to as PC. The reaction to this was a liberal conservatism, otherwise known as libertarianism, which sought to redistribute civil control back to the presumably more culturally conservative local level. Having been originally based on a simplistic rejection of government, now this movement has matured and coalesced, it is in trouble because it lacks any core civil philosophy, leaving its social conservatives and economic conservatives little more than a toxic coalition of greed and cultural rigor mortis.
Posted by: brodix | Oct 3 2005 23:45 utc | 17
|