Why is this important?
From an international view Bolton should be nominated and get the job as UN ambassador. By now everybody knows he is an asshole and can not be believed a bit. He would thereby be ineffective for the further neocon projects as far as these depend on international support. So please let him be nominated, but make the process as long and devastating as possible.
From a national U.S. view a loss on the Bolton nomination can be interpreted as a loss of influence for Bush. A recognized lame-duck Bush would have serious problems to push his other projects – from Social Security to nominating judges.
Update 03:35
I have watched the nomination hearing in the Senate Foreign Relation Committee on John Bolton and blogged some of things that were said below the fold. Bolton was vote out of the committee to the Senate floor without recommendation.
Some further thoughts on the issue:
The Senate should "advice and consent" on the President’s nominations. In the hearing many Republicans said things like "it’s the presidents choice", "he will have to work with him" etc. Is that "advice and consent"? Are these Senators fulfilling their constitutional duty if they make such an argument? I do not think so. To consent is more than to say ‘yes’ to someones choice just because its her/his choice. It needs some degree of conviction the choice is the right choice.
Senator Voinovich explained very early in the hearing that he will not recommend Bolton but would vote him out of the committee to the Senate floor to decide. The frame was set after that (or probably earlier as Lugar seemed to know what Voinovich would say).
For Voinovich this is some lame "I voted no before I voted yes" wiggle that keeps him out of the fire. If he is really against Bolton he should have voted No on a recommendation.
The possibilities now are interesting. On the Senate floor the Democrats can now filibuster Bolton. This would make the issue part of the "nuclear option" discussion giving the Republicans another argument for blowing the filibuster away.
Another option for Bush is to make a recess nomination effectively bypassing the Senate. This of course would give Bolton even less aura at the UN and therefore would be my preferred solution. When Bolton finally arrives at the UN there should be as many Plato’s Retreat stories as possible and the most minuscule political cloud.
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Today’s Bolton nomination hearing in the Senate Foreign Relation Committee will take some 5 hours. I will try to blog the major points.
C-SPAN stream
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Lugar finds nothing bad on Bolton …
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Voinovich is on.
Voinovich may vote against Bolton on ground of "wider view" on the issue of how America is seen in the world. "What message are we sending to the world with Bolton?"
9:9 hung committee?
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11:05 am – Voinovich:
"Bolton has serious deficiencies";
"Would have been fired if he had worked for a private corporation";
Voinovich wants the committee to send the Bolton nomination to the floor without a recommendation.
ThinkProgress has a transcript of Voinovich.
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11:15 am – Biden:
Doesn´t do his prepared speech after Voinovich gave direction.
"We didn´t seek witnesses against Bolton, those people came to us"
"Many people against Bolton who came to us are republicans or republican nominations"
Shames Lugar who requested information from State and the NSA but didn´t receive it and now caves in.
State says – they "believe" the Senate doesn´t need this information. Biden: "State has no right to withhold anything;"
Lots of Bolton bashing by Biden.
"We can do better".
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Will someone offer David Brooks a new job? Editor for the funnies?
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12:00 am – Sarbanes
Bolton – cherrypicker – international nobody will ever believe his words.
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0:20 pm – Allen
blah …
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0:42 pm – Dodd
On the procedure – we shouldn´t vote someone out of committee without recommendation – "it´s our job"
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0:45 – Chafee
"Reservations"
"will support Senator Lugars and Voinovich’s motion"
Lugar’s and Voinovich’s ideas were not the same so far – so what does he say here???
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0:55 – Kerry
Bolton can not be effective – "Will they ask him at the UN if the floor he is standing on is one of those that should be removed?"
Explains the points on which Bolton lied to committee.
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1:10 – Coleman
Bolton best person…
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1:25 – Feingold
I voted for Bolton in his current position, but his simply unsuited …
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1:35 – Hagel
"face to the world important" -will he follow Voinovich?
No way "will support the President" – will vote pro Bolton
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1:45 – Boxer
"Politicalization of intelligence leads to war"
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1:55 – Alexander
"intelligence can be challenged"
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02:10 – Obama
"Where is Mr. Boton on the current NTP negotiations?" "He stopped working on that 6 month ago." "Had not much success in his current job, why should we trust him on a new one?"
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02:25 – Sununu
"Bolton opposition can not decide what disqualifies him …" Someone interupted "all of it".
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02:37 – Murkowski
"Bolton mamagement style concerns me" – But she will not disturb on the "Presidents choice".
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02:47 – Martinez
Armitage said Bolton is qualified – so it’s fine
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03:00 – Nelson
"We need others to support us in Iraq and elsewhere. We need some to reach out.
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03:02 – Biden to sum up his side
– This is not a long hearing time for a nomination.
– We don´t have the information from the NSA we need.
– We never had nomination of someone who had so many foes in his camp.
– Rice says she will control Bolton. Why send someone to the UN who needs control?
Will not oppose to move the nomination to the Senate floor without recommendation
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03:20 – Lugar to sum up and motion
Motion – report to the floor without recommendation
10 yes – 8 no – to the floor without recommendation