Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 20, 2015

Israel's Golan Attack Turns Heights Into An Active Resistance Zone

As response to the Israeli attack on the Iranian commander in Syria Iran and Hizbullah will open an active new front in Golan heights:

"The response will be firm and decisive.” This, in short, was the Iranian reaction to the Israeli attack in the Syrian province of Quneitra, which killed a senior commander in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRG), among others. The Iranian reaction indicates the possibility of opening the Golan front, where work is underway to build the necessary infrastructure.
...
Islamic Shura Council head Hussein Sheikh al-Islam said that “the resistance will open the Golan front in response to the Zionist aggression, which was a grave miscalculation by this entity.”

“Without intelligence assistance from terrorist groups in Syria, the Zionist entity would not have managed to execute this operation,” the aim of which is “to please the extremist groups in the Zionist entity and serve electoral objectives.”

The terrorist groups Israel is cooperating with is mainly Jabhat al-Nusra the AlQaeda affiliate in Syria.

The Israeli hit on the high ranking Iranian and Hizbullah targets will have significant repercussions and Israel may have miscalculated the extend to which this will come true.

There are already feeble efforts by the Israel to avoid the consequences of its deed:

An Iranian general killed in an Israeli air strike in Syria was not its intended target and Israel believed it was attacking only low-ranking guerrillas, a senior security source said on Tuesday.

The remarks by the Israeli source, who declined to be identified because Israel has not officially confirmed it carried out the strike, appeared aimed at containing any escalation with Iran or the Lebanese Hezbollah guerrilla group.

"We did not target the general and, by the way, here is a well maintained bridge for sale."

In the 80s and 90s Israel tried to turn the south of Lebanon into a comfort zone for itself by supporting the rogue forces of the South Lebanese Army. Hizbullah was founded to counter that force and a few years later Israel and its mercenaries were thrown out of the country.

During the last two years Israel tried the same strategy on the Golan demarcation line with Syria organizing and supporting Free Syrian Army gangs and Jabhat al-Nusra terrorists. Syria and Hizbullah had responded to this by fortifying position in the Golan and preparing defenses on the heights. Both had refrained from active attacks on that front.

But with the attack on the Iranian general and high Hizbullah commanders Israel has opened a new chapter and in reaction to that Hizbullah and Iran will turn the Golan heights into an open front of active combat against Israel. The game changed because Israel disregarded the established rules.

It will take time but the whole of Golan, just like south Lebanon before, will be an increasing unfriendly area for Israel and the cost to further hold on to it will over time become prohibitive.

Posted by b on January 20, 2015 at 10:37 AM | Permalink

Comments
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I doubt this attack has anything to do with al-Nusra but it certainly shows that there is an ongoing problem with Hezbollah's internal security.

Hezbollah and Iran are quite occupied with their works in Syria and Iraq so this threat to the Golan is just pointed words until real actions are seen.

One thing is certain Iran is losing many high ranking officers mostly to IS snipers.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 11:38:58 AM | 1

Wayoutwest


Anon@86

Understanding what a state does does not mean justifying their actions. Hezbollah is not a state, in fact Lebanon has suffered greatly because of the existence of this proxy militia especially because of the July War.

You seemed to imply that Israel should do this (attacking Syria) just because they "can". That imply some acceptance of what Israel is doing.
Lebanon has "suffered greatly"? You imply that Lebanon and Syria should be happy that israel attack them?

YOu have a thing for Israel or why this protective rhetoric of w.e israel is doing?

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 20, 2015 11:44:48 AM | 2

Anon@2

I am not implying anything but you certainly are, without any evidence other than your own distorted and incorrect views.

I do support the liberation of Palestine but think that Hezbollah will play no part in that Jihad.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 12:04:07 PM | 3

wayoutwest

We arent talking about Palestine but occupied Golan heights, why are you against Hezbollah helping Syria against Israel and Al Nusra?

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 20, 2015 12:07:45 PM | 4

- The key question is whether or not Israel (& US) is/are able to control Jabat-Al-Nusrah (JAN). Is JAN willing to turn its guns on Lebanon and/or Hezbollah as well.
- My read of this article is that Israel & US are still building up JAN but need more time to get JAN ready to fight. They didn't wanted to "let the cat out of the bag" yet.
- But no matter how one slices or dices it, Syria, Lebanon (,Jordan) & Israel are going to see much more "turmoil". Syria is already a failed state. Are Lebanon & Jordan next ?

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 20, 2015 12:28:19 PM | 5

One flaw in this article. This article

http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/tehran-threatens-open-golan-front-response-israeli-strike

talks about "threaten(s) to open" instead of "will open".

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 20, 2015 12:43:34 PM | 6

@1

I doubt this attack has anything to do with al-Nusra but it certainly shows that there is an ongoing problem with Hezbollah's internal security.

Where do you get these fatuous ideas from Way? The Israeli source quoted from Reuters in b's article says precisely the opposite, saying that it was a low-level strike. You only say it because it's your hasbarist duty to make out Israel as all-powerful, and all-seeing, having supposedly penetrated H's security, when in fact H are known as having very good security.

By the way, it has a lot to do Jabhat al-Nusra.

Posted by: Laguerre | Jan 20, 2015 12:57:48 PM | 7

L@7

Do you not know that the head of Hezbollah's security is on trial for treason and being an Israeli spy?

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 1:24:31 PM | 8

But with the attack on the Iranian general and high Hizbullah commanders Israel has opened a new chapter and in reaction to that Hizbullah and Iran will turn the Golan heights into an open front of active combat against Israel. The game changed because Israel disregarded the established rules.

Maybe, but most likely not.

Why Hezbollah won't open a Golan front with Israel

What next?

The most intriguing question is what happens next. It's perfectly clear that Hezbollah is not currently interested in a major escalation with Israel. But it's also clear – especially in light of Hezbollah's behavior lately and its Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah's speech last week – that Hezbollah is interested in creating a new balance of deterrence with Israel.

Why do defense officials estimate that Hezbollah is not currently interested in an escalation? The main reason is that the Iranians do not want a war between Israel and Hezbollah at the moment. They trained Hezbollah's fighters and sent a massive arsenal of tens of thousands of rockets and missiles of every type for one purpose only: so the Lebanese organization can land a heavy and precise blow against Israeli population centers and infrastructures, should the IDF attack Iran's nuclear facilities. The Ayatollah's regime is not interested in Hezbollah wasting the arsenal on border skirmishes that have no strategic significance for Iran.

The second reason that Hezbollah is uninterested in an escalation is that its militants were killed Sunday in the Syrian Golan, where the group has no justification to operate against Israel while priding itself on being the protector of Lebanon. In an interview last week, Nasrallah strenuously denied that Hezbollah had operated in the Golan in the past. The very fact that Hezbollah members were killed right on the border in the Golan unmasks him as a liar to the Lebanese people. Hezbollah and Nasrallah see themselves foremost as Lebanese, and they, according to estimates by defense officials, will be in no hurry to drag Lebanon into a war that has no distinct justification and legitimacy.

Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Jan 20, 2015 1:35:22 PM | 9

We arent talking about Palestine but occupied Golan heights, why are you against Hezbollah helping Syria against Israel and Al Nusra?

How can they protect Lebanon, their avowed mission and purpose, if they're spreading themselves thin "fighting" on multiple fronts as Iran's lapdogs?

Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Jan 20, 2015 1:37:37 PM | 10

WOW @ 1

"Hezbollah and Iran are quite occupied with their works in Syria and Iraq so this threat to the Golan is just pointed words until real actions are seen"

Isn't the Golan part of Syria?

The Hebrew Mafia scored a hit in a cowardly sneak and run attack.
No one (maybe you?) will shed any tears if Israelis are killed in response. The Yahoo keeps on upping the ante, as he needs war like humans need blood to keep his political career alive.
Dead jews are political props for him.

Posted by: Farflungstar | Jan 20, 2015 1:38:33 PM | 11

The chronic liars are at it again, soft selling their crimes when caught in the spotlight (as usual).
As mentioned previously, they couldn't resist playing their hand - short sighted and stupid actions are a natural consequence of years of hubris.

Posted by: spinworthy | Jan 20, 2015 1:43:26 PM | 12

For once I have to agree with Cold's assessment of this situation.

This attack shows that Israel planned and had foreknowledge of where the Iranians and Hezbollah would be on that day which means internal information not a timely tip from someone outside Hezbollah.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 1:44:37 PM | 13

First, reading this post makes me to emphasize that "b" is a good knowledgeable person on the middle eastern affairs. It's uncommon to find some American/Western person knows such amount of information and analysis.

Second, here is my latest story to whom may be concerned:
The Next Israel-Hezbollah Vis-à-vis

Posted by: M. Tomazy | Jan 20, 2015 1:44:42 PM | 14

Regarding that allegedly "high level" Mossad asset in Hizbullah, we have to remember how little we actually know. We do not know how long he was working before being discovered. It is quite possible he was caught very shortly after being subverted by the Israelis. It is quite possible Hizbullah knew for a while he was a Mossad asset and used him to feed false information. It is also possible he was a double agent working for Hizbullah all along and only pretended to be subverted. And even if not, the Israelis can't be sure.

Regarding the murder of the IRGC officer and his compatriots, it does not necessarily mean a high level asset in HA (and if it does, the Israelis just burned him) It could just as easily be poor communication security, or a pervasive presence of drones and US spy satellites. At any rate, it is doubtful HA and Iran will leave this unanswered. That would only encourage future Israeli attacks. A retaliation before an Israeli election is a tricky time. But in fact, Bibi would have to be hesitant to escalate to another all out war as in 2006. Because if it turns out the same, his reelection prospects would take a huge turn for the worse.

Posted by: Lysander | Jan 20, 2015 1:54:27 PM | 15

The game changed because Israel disregarded the established rules.

well, i'd sure like to know what these "established rules" are. israel has a long history of assassinating (mostly) arabs, both high-ranking and otherwise, without suffering much in the way of consequences.

assassination is the israelis preferred form of diplomacy. hubris and cowardice all rolled into one.

Posted by: john | Jan 20, 2015 1:57:21 PM | 16

wayoutwest 13

Whats your proof for that statement?

And please dont ignore my earlier question:
We arent talking about Palestine but occupied Golan heights, why are you against Hezbollah helping Syria against Israel and Al Nusra?

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 20, 2015 1:58:51 PM | 17

Anon@17

This was my opinion based on observation of events. It is interesting that this attack comes so soon after the uncovering of the Israeli spy inside Hezbollah. Could it be that the Israelis are rubbing salt into the wound created by that spy and showing them that he was not the only one.

I'm working on a response to your other question but it has to do with the fact that most Lebanese don't support Hezbollah and what they are doing.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 2:36:55 PM | 18

wayoutwest

So your proof is "your opinion"? Thats not much for proof to be honest.

Lebanese dont support HEzbollahs resistance against Israel?! Though that wasnt my question at all, I am asking why you are against Hezbollah helping Syria against Nusra and Israel. Stop ignoring my question and answer it.

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 20, 2015 2:46:58 PM | 19

F@11

I take no pleasure in seeing anyone being killed especially civilians no matter their religion or nationality, unlike you apparent do.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 2:53:09 PM | 20

@Wayoutwest #20:

Why can't you answer the question? You are exhibiting definite trolling behavior. Keep it up, and you won't be taken any more seriously than Ulster.

Posted by: Demian | Jan 20, 2015 3:02:26 PM | 21

D@21

See #18 and wait or buzz off!

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 3:26:20 PM | 22

What I find amazing about the reporting on this story is that U.S./Israeli support of Nusra in southern Syria is openly acknowledged, albeit with some carefully worded statements, in the "newspaper of record."

Based on the post-9/11 AUMF, the same one Obama uses to justify bombing IS in Syria and Iraq, the U.S. is at war with Al Qaeda and its affiliates.

As the Houthis solidify their control in Sana, you can bet the U.S. is playing the same game with AQAP in Yemen.

When is someone, some politician who wants to be attacked by the ADL, going to say, "Look, read the papers. We are at war with Al Qaeda at the same time we are aiding and abetting Al Qaeda."

Posted by: Mike Maloney | Jan 20, 2015 4:07:44 PM | 23

Is it a shift or are they just feeling the heat? with trials of guys who went for djihad in syria everyday, the european medias start to look like there is indeed a war there and we are part of it.
But as we now read all over the papers that the anti charlie should be sent away or reeducated (the French media is having its 11th september) i still fail to find any of the corporate media addressing the urgent issues of what exactly KSA, Kuwait, or Qatar are stuffing the pupils' heads with. I should say Egypt too, for having seen some secondary schools exams of "religion" -customary, asking the kid to write about the vision in paradise and martyrdom... but it was under Morsi. who knows if they would have given that under Mubarak.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/20/us-mideast-crisis-syria-germany-idUSKBN0KT1NO20150120
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-30894481

Posted by: Mina | Jan 20, 2015 5:05:29 PM | 24

@21 Demian, I think wayoutwest's status as a troll was somewhat questionable before today's post, but now it's confirmed. I'll be ignoring from now on.

Also the israeli quote about attempting to kill low level guerrillas is a candidate for joke of the year.

Posted by: Crest | Jan 20, 2015 5:54:23 PM | 25

Yep- any normal human being would be happy to engage in dialogue to defend a point. Therefore it's a troll - ignore it from now on. It would help to have the tag of the poster at the top- so you can see which ones to skip over

Posted by: bridger | Jan 20, 2015 6:06:51 PM | 26

@13 wow agreeing with cold, lol! that is more rich then usual!

@15 lysander is more my kind of thinker who remains impartial and open ended on the details here. thanks lysander

Posted by: ..james | Jan 20, 2015 7:20:18 PM | 27

@18 Wayoutwest
"Could it be that the Israelis are rubbing salt into the wound created by that spy and showing them that he was not the only one." - how stupid can you get?

Posted by: Ted | Jan 20, 2015 7:28:02 PM | 28

@10 "How can they protect Lebanon, their avowed mission and purpose, if they're spreading themselves thin "fighting" on multiple fronts as Iran's lapdogs?"

Be honest, Coldie, you are not that naive.

No armed forces would sit still and allow themselves to be cut off from their source of supply, and there is no question that Iran supplies Hezbollah.

And without that steady supply then Hezbollah would be about as toothless as the Lebanese Army, who are expected to "defend" Lebanon using 1960's-era weaponry.

But here is the problem, which you surely know: Iran is over *there*, and Lebanon is over *here*, and the only way to ship supplies from *there* to *here* is via the country that sits between them: Syria.

If Hezbollah expects to defend Lebanon then it can not allow Assad's government to fall, because if that were to happen then their supply of weapons will dry up to nothing.

You know all that, so why act so dumb?

Posted by: Johnboy | Jan 20, 2015 7:56:18 PM | 29

"For once I have to agree with Cold's assessment of this situation."

You two are the same shit in a different package, thats all.

Posted by: guest77 | Jan 20, 2015 7:57:12 PM | 30

@30 ...Like Vice Magazine and the New York Times.

Posted by: guest77 | Jan 20, 2015 8:07:39 PM | 31

@23 mike m... thanks.. really good point that needs to be taken up by someone with a little backbone... i don't believe any american politician is up for the job!

Posted by: ..james | Jan 20, 2015 8:31:52 PM | 32

But in fact, Bibi would have to be hesitant to escalate to another all out war as in 2006. Because if it turns out the same, his reelection prospects would take a huge turn for the worse.

Posted by: Lysander | Jan 20, 2015 1:54:27 PM | 15

I'm not so sure. This could be a win-win for BB, he went uninvited to Paris to bolster his election chances; the attack on the Hez convoy could get Hez to retaliate, at which point Israel would be "at war" with Hez - again. The election would happen before "it turns out the same".

Iran and Hezbollah have to be very careful.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 20, 2015 8:45:04 PM | 33

Congratulations, b. You hit a VERY tender spot with this post.
This thread is well on the way to setting a record for the degree to which the comments by Hasbara trolls outnumber those of Humans.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jan 20, 2015 9:09:59 PM | 34

I agree HA has to be very careful and can't count on the Israelis not escalating. But if HA's retaliation happens in, say, the first week of February and Israel escalates to full scale war...and that war is still on going on March 17 then Bibi is in an awkward position. It may be that Bibi believes he can win outright but Israel's not so impressive performance against a MUCH MUCH weaker Hamas in Gaza this past summer should not inspire his confidence. If by mid March rockets have been hitting Tel Aviv for a few weeks then all bets are off. Especially since Bibi can expect to win handily by doing nothing. In the event there is a HA retaliation, Bibi might just fire a few artillery shells into open space and leave it at that.

But you are correct HA can't assume that, especially if their retaliation results in multiple Israeli casualties. Then Bibi might be forced to escalate.

Posted by: Lysander | Jan 20, 2015 9:15:06 PM | 35

It's easy to forget that if "Israel" comes under sustained and destructive rocket attack from Hezbollah, then the Jewish Diaspora will cross it off their list of safe havens and Bibi's Paris offer will look contradictory and pointless, seeing it was Bibi, Himself, who started this current chain of escalation.

Bibi is probably salivating at the prospect of demolishing dozens of apartment buildings in Lebanon ("Israel" has at least 100 Bunker Busters/ J Dams) and killing hundreds of 'civilians').
It's Bibi who should be careful.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jan 20, 2015 9:38:09 PM | 36

Posted by: Mike Maloney | Jan 20, 2015 4:07:44 PM | 23

Much of Al Qaeda, maybe all of it, seems to be a US front organization, and it is NO coincidence the organization was born inside Saudi Arabia with a 'more conservative than thou' Wahabbist Muslim and the avid and lavish support of the Saudi state. Based on AQ actions over the years, which 'by coincidence' (??) pretty much always advance Saudi and US goals, why would anyone think there was ever a falling out between the KSA (and therefore the US) and Al Qaeda?

AQ's latest, a video based on Ed Snowden's revelations, is blatant NSA anti-Snowden propaganda. Why on earth would a sincere anti-neocolonialist, anti-imperialist organization want to wreck the reputation of Edward Snowden? The answer is a sincere organization of that type wouldn't, but a US/CIA/KSA asset would.

The US and the UK before them has been playing this Islamic radicals game for a very long time. In fact they love it when extremely conservative Islamic organizations take power in Middle Eastern states, because they know such groups are inherently unpopular and require outside military, financial, and security aid in order to survive. 'Strategic' collaboration (but the tools are not fooling anyone) with Western imperialism has long been explicit in the Muslim Brotherhood and probably most other hyper-conservative Islamic organizations. (And not just because they're stupid collaborators trying to fool themselves: those who don't cooperate with the West tend to be killed (or at least kicked out of their cushy middle-class state-dependent jobs) by the West or its proxies.)

Posted by: fairleft | Jan 20, 2015 9:42:30 PM | 37

Posted by: fairleft | Jan 20, 2015 9:42:30 PM | 37

Sorry if that's confused. I think the Ed Snowden video was by ISIS not Al Qaeda. I don't think there's any real difference between the two. Two harmonious variations on the US/Saudi/CIA 'radical Islam' theme.

Posted by: fairleft | Jan 20, 2015 10:06:51 PM | 38

It's Bibi who should be careful.

BB's Paris offer was, “in their hearts that they have only one home" speaking in a synagogue. But I agree - "then the Jewish Diaspora will cross it off their list of safe havens and Bibi's Paris offer will look contradictory and pointless,"

BB's offer seemed to me about domestic politics, although he's set up a new agency to facilitate bringing French Jews to Israel.

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article40761.htm

January 20, 2015 "ICH" - Maariv today published an astonishing story. Anyone reading this blog is used to the brutishness of the Shin Bet. But usually it’s reserved for Palestinians, Arab journalists, and air travelers with Arab “racial” profiles. We would never expect it to be meted out to the elected leader of a country that is an Israeli ally.

On the day of the memorial service for those slain in the kosher supermarket attack, Prime Minister Manuel Valls sought to take his seat in the synagogue with the President, Francois Hollande and Israel’s leader, Bibi Netanyahu. As he approached his seat, his path was blocked by a Shin Bet agent who refused to allow him to pass until Netanyahu had taken his own seat. According to Valls, the agent grabbed his arm and forced him to wait until the Israeli had seated himself.

Valls shouted at him in French and English:

You don’t make the rules here. You provide security for the prime minister of Israel, that is all.

The Israeli ambassador to France apologized for the encounter. There can be no doubt that this was a deliberate affront to France’s political leadership.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 20, 2015 10:17:59 PM | 39

fairleft @37

great comment

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 20, 2015 10:27:11 PM | 40

@9 Cold
Your satire continues to inspire! Linking to i24news.tv (The Israei Answer to Al Jazeera)on "Why Hezbollah won't....." pure genius.
Are you sure? not Charley?

Posted by: celestion | Jan 20, 2015 10:39:02 PM | 41

Israel's killing spree is a desperate provocation so Iran and Hezbollah react and blow up the Iran nuclear negotiation.
This is why Iran and Hezbollah will verbally threat but will do nothing until the Iran deal is signed.
Therefore expect more of these 'accidental' provocations coming from an increasingly frustrated Israel facing isolation and watching with anxiety Iran their most dreaded enemy re-entering the international community.
Expect also more efforts from the neo-cons and the Israeli lobbies to sabotage the negotiations.

If the negotiations succeed, the face of the whole area will change and not in favor of Israel or Saudi Arabia but in favor of Iran and its allies.
No wonder these two countries are fidgety and reckless in their actions. They are fighting to stay relevant.

Posted by: Virgile | Jan 20, 2015 10:50:30 PM | 42

Posted by: celestion | Jan 20, 2015 10:39:02 PM | 41

Yep. When a 'source' engages in this sort of rhetoric (posing and answering its own questions)...

"Why do defense officials estimate that Hezbollah is not currently interested in an escalation? The main reason is that the Iranians do not want a war between Israel and Hezbollah at the moment."

... someone is being gulled/ played like a violin.
It's not beyond the realm of possibility that the victim, in this case, was CNH, herself.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jan 20, 2015 10:58:29 PM | 43

A source? I assumed i24news.tv is a collective of stenographers. They could be a "source" for a NYT's reporter.

Posted by: celestion | Jan 20, 2015 11:22:37 PM | 44

Anon@4

Your question seems simple enough but is actually loaded with traps. Israel is not involved in the Syrian War in any meaningful way and al-Nusra is only one of over 20 rebel groups involved in the conflict.

I can't support any group or state that supports Assad's regime, he is a proven bloody dictator and no I also don't support the rebels either. The war could have been avoided without all of the varied rebel groups getting involved but Assad decided to use massive force on civilians to maintain his power.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 11:35:43 PM | 45

Virgile @42

Yep. very careful

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 20, 2015 11:45:21 PM | 46

Continued from 45

Hezbollah duty is to the defense of Lebanon from Israeli incursion but now they are propping up a dictator and acting as a roving tool of Iran. Someone above said that they must help Assad to protect their supplies from Iran, that may have been true when Syria occupied Lebanon but they seem to get their supplies by air from Iran now as the earlier Israeli airstrike showed and if their claims are true they are already massively supplied and armed.

I think Assad and Hezbollah are doomed, even the Alawites are turning against Assad and the only force strong enough to prevail is the Islamic State and then Israel will wish for the good old days with Hezbollah on their northern border.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 11:52:26 PM | 47

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 20, 2015 11:52:26 PM | 47

... the only force strong enough to prevail is the Islamic State and then Israel will wish for the good old days with Hezbollah on their northern border.

Hezbollah, in the real world, is the only military force in recent decades to seriously trouble Israel. Islamic State, in the real world, is a covert arm of Saudi Arabia foreign policy. Saudi Arabia is a US dependency and Israel's No. 1 Middle East ally. You're just not reality-based.

Posted by: fairleft | Jan 21, 2015 12:59:21 AM | 48

@48

"wayout" describes the poster aptly... about as far out as one can get.

Posted by: crone | Jan 21, 2015 1:26:36 AM | 49


You're just not reality-based.

Worst, fairleft, wayout doesn't know anything about the way the world works. Prince Bandar promised, then created "a 40,000 man professional army" - voila, ISIS.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 21, 2015 1:30:09 AM | 50

Fair@48

You ought to read the history of the July War which took place 9 years ago. Even Nasrallah regretted what their actions cost Lebanon and all of Hezbollah's border infrastructure was destroyed.

Your belief that the Saudis control the Islamic State may make you feel safer but the fact that the Saudis are bombing the IS in Iraq and being attacked by the IS on their border destroys that myth.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 2:39:34 AM | 51

Okie@50

You are confusing the Islamic State with the 20+ other rebel groups in Syria some of which I agree were promoted by the Saudis and the US. You have to also define which Saudis, individuals or the government are involved, there is a difference.

The latest estimate I have seen claims that the IS only gets about 5% of its funding from outside sources.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 2:49:25 AM | 52

WoW: "You ought to read the history of the July War which took place 9 years ago."

I read all about it at the time, and I noted that the IDF achieved none of its MILITARY objectives.

Not. one.

Take out Hezbollah's missile arsenal? Nope, Hezbollah were firing more missiles at the end than they were at the beginning.

Capture Bint Jbeil and deny it as a rallying point for Hezbollah ground forces? Man, didn't that turn into a cock-up.

Send the commandos to a hospital in Baalbek to capture some "tasty fish"? Well, they captured some civilians, and then had to release them (very, very quietly) a few days later because they were.... errr.... civilians.

Launch the IDF to the Litani River on the day before the ceasefire in order to show that Israel "won"? Worse day of casualties for Israel, and not so much as a single Merkava tank managed to get anywhere near the Litani.

WoW: "Even Nasrallah regretted what their actions cost Lebanon and all of Hezbollah's border infrastructure was destroyed. "

Oh, yeah, no question that the IDF laid waste to Quite A Bit Of The Civilian Infrastructure of southern Lebanon. Destroying non-military targets does indeed appear to be the IDF's singular accomplishment of that war.

But, no, Hezbollah emerged at the end with it's C&C and military infrastructure quite intact, no doubt to the surprise of both sides - Israel's because it didn't realise how good Hezbollah was, and Hezbollah because it never realised how piss-poor the IDF really is.

I doubt very much that anything has changed, except that in the next exchange the IDF will get even more embarrassed on the battlefield, and will take out even more of its rage on the civilians.

But that's war, Israel-style...

Posted by: Johnboy | Jan 21, 2015 3:03:59 AM | 53

hezbollah from 2006 through to 2015 ...9 years have come under continued attack to there leadership.the spies alone have done serious damage and one would expect that at the end of this winter they will face attacks from all directions.

but what is the endgame here.perhaps this

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran-Iraq-Syria_pipeline

without hez to secure lebanon there will be no pipeline

blocking this pipeline is the sunni block and bought and paid for israel.....opposing this alliance is russia who will lose its share of the eu market and hence its support of iran

and here lies the 5 sided knot.....because lebanon especially tripoli area will be the next battleground

al qasr,qalamoun mountains,bcharre,qasr those areas are important but are difficult in winter

summer rains,winter snow,a white crow.

Posted by: mcohen | Jan 21, 2015 3:07:33 AM | 54

Must read for French speakers
http://rue89.nouvelobs.com/2015/01/20/apologie-dacte-terrorisme-jai-leve-main-jai-dit-ils-ont-eu-raison-257212

I wouldn't be surprise if his little arousing interest for religion came solely from browsing the internet

Posted by: Mina | Jan 21, 2015 3:34:25 AM | 55

Thanks b. for ME insight and thought-provoking article. Many comments lack knowledge of history of Lebanon and Syria. The talking points of cdh and wow are pure zionist and neocon fascism.

I more often don't agree with JC, in this article he offers background and specifics of geographical area where the terror strike from IAF took place, Mazari` al-Amal in Syria’s Quneitra Province.

Israel’s Syria Strike: Is it trying to Help al-Qaeda vs. Hizbullah & Iran?
US 'seeks new Syrian leader' as pressure mounts – Oct. 2005

The Homs 'uprising', the Ghouta gas attack and the Maidan revolt in Ukraine carry all the hallmarks of a red flag operation. Israeli intelligence from Unit 8200 picking up communication between Syrian generals ordering gas attacks on Damascus suburb and Obama grabbing the opportunity. Sure. Anyone find the culprits of the deadly Beirut blast killing PM Hariri in February 2005 yet?

Posted by: Oui | Jan 21, 2015 3:50:22 AM | 56

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 2:39:34 AM | 51

Even Nasrallah regretted what their actions cost Lebanon and all of Hezbollah's border infrastructure was destroyed.

Israel loves you for that sentence, which doesn't mention who was bombing Lebanon, who was killing its children. Nasrallah doesn't regret Hezbollah's actions, he mourns the actions of the bloodthirsty state of Israel that required the defense of Lebanon.

The victimizer of Lebanon was Israel, Lebanon's defender was Hezbollah. Nasrallah rightfully became the most popular man in the Middle East for forcing Israel back across the border. And Israel has not repeated its invasion, has it? Reality.

the fact that the Saudis are bombing the IS in Iraq and being attacked by the IS on their border ...

What? Read the news more closely. The following is about as honest as a Western mainstream source can be about what's really going on (emphasis added):

Last September nine Arab states agreed at a meeting in Jeddah to join the US-led military campaign against Islamic State jihadis in Iraq and Syria, but Arab participation remains minimal and lukewarm.

... Saudi Arabia, the trend-setter, and its rival Qatar, have been key supporters of jihadi groups operating in Iraq and Syria.

In the view of Saudi and Gulf rulers, these groups, including Islamic State and al-Qaeda’s affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra, form a counterweight to Iran’s presence and influence in Iraq and Syria. Iran, rather than Islamic State, is seen as the primary enemy by these rulers.

To counter the export of the 1979 Shia Iranian revolution, Sunni Saudi Arabia has stepped up transmission to the region, Africa and Europe of its Wahhabi ideology through mosque construction, provision of preachers and funding of religious schools [but also by massive funding of Wahhabi political parties, media, and militias, why'd they leave that out?].

Riyadh will not take an aggressive anti-Islamic State stand because the monarchy cannot afford to antagonise its deeply conservative religious establishment, which adheres to the very doctrines espoused by Islamic State and other jihadi groups. [The other 'becauses' are that 'Riyadh' also agrees with those doctrines, and those fake 'jihadis' are fighting on the US/Israel side of Middle East armed conflicts. Since Saudi Arabia is a US dependent, it must do what the US/Israel wants done, and fund what the US/Israel wants funded.

Posted by: fairleft | Jan 21, 2015 3:54:41 AM | 57

wayoutwest

1.

Your question seems simple enough but is actually loaded with traps. Israel is not involved in the Syrian War in any meaningful way and al-Nusra is only one of over 20 rebel groups involved in the conflict.

Israel is one of the reason there is a war on Assad from outside players, just weeks
ago UN showed how Israel aided syrian terrorists. Apparently you dont want to support Assad because as you say he violate human rights but you have showed support for Israel in every post now which doesnt make up if you are pro-human rights.

2.
Assad decided to use massive force on civilians to maintain his power.

Thats a lie since Syria offered great reforms in 2011 which was rebuffed by the opposition.

3.
Hezbollah duty is to the defense of Lebanon from Israeli incursion but now they are propping up a dictator and acting as a roving tool of Iran.

Uh no Hezbollah is a resistance group in the region. Thats why they were in israeli annexed GOlan Heights. There is nothing legally that would stop them from supporting Syria.
Tool of Iran?! What kind of stupid argument is that? What have you against Iran now, and tool?! Is that Netanyahu talking?

4.

I think Assad and Hezbollah are doomed, even the Alawites are turning against Assad and the only force strong enough to prevail is the Islamic State and then Israel will wish for the good old days with Hezbollah on their northern border.

Lol Assad staying strong after all these years, Hezbollah staying strong after all these years but according to "wayoutwest" they are "doomed".
So Israel that have tried to get rid of Assad for all these years...really dont want that? Sorry, but you make absolutely no sense. Israel want indeed the terrorists they are aiding now to rule Syria.

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 21, 2015 4:23:46 AM | 58

From SyrPer

Sicel Joe says:

""January 20th, 2015 at 12:53 PM [Level 6 - Praefectus]

From the Mossad propaganda website, Debkafile, a sliver of truth seems to be coming out. They report that Israeli officials, under US pressure, are making somewhat of a semi-apology to IRAN declaring that they were unaware of Iranian military officials being in the convoy. Apparently, the Iranians are fuming and are planning their revenge attack(s) as we speak. Since all hell is about to break loose, the Obama admin. is royally pissed with the Israelis for possibly trying to sabotage the Iran nuclear talks and instigate a full-scale war in the ME. Will Iran call off or scale down their reprisals? I'm taking bets.

Read more at http://www.syrianperspective.com/2015/01/derah-34-terrorists-dead-in-al-muzayreeb-hizbollah-and-irgc-stalwarts-murdered-by-zionist-helicopters-identified.html#W5uQ8ekO9BHDy1ut.99....

Posted by: Sufi | Jan 21, 2015 4:25:05 AM | 59

b

The correct acronym for Jabat-Al-Nusrah is Jabat-Al-Nusrah-Al-US (JANUS),
just as the correct acronym for The Caliphate is I-قاموس-I-قاموس (I$I$).
US State/Defense leaders are meeting in Kiev, preparing their blitzkreig.
In the next few weeks, Greeks will vote, Draghi will QE, and then world
currencies will go قاموس- قاموس on your 'GH', as everyone runs for cover.
May the farce be with you!

Posted by: Chip Nihk | Jan 21, 2015 4:32:34 AM | 60

In my opinion B is right and a response from Iran is imminent. The fact that the attack was an Israeli attack has been confirmed by not one but two Iranian Ministers. The Iranian Defense minister and the Iranian Foreign Minister have both acknowledged the attack as a Zionist attack. Others that have condemned the attack include the secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran and the IRGC top commander who has said that resistance groups in the region will soon give a crushing response to Israel's Sunday raid. With Iranian bringing this in the public domain, my only conclusions are that the gloves are off.

Posted by: anon | Jan 21, 2015 4:55:09 AM | 61

Posted by: Sufi | Jan 21, 2015 4:25:05 AM | 59

We won't see any of this in the open. Iran has declared years ago that if they were attacked by Israel they would hold the US responsable in Iraq (or Afghanistan).

Iran has been cooperating with the US in Iraq in a complex way. ISIS was designed to shift the power of outside powers in Iraq (and Syria, but it was an Iraqi project mainly and the big push was on Iraqi cities.

Basically, Sistani saved the Iraqi state from ISIS by a one-line fatwa.

The Western/US coalition found that they were not really needed.

There will be no official US/Iran agreement, just as Obama will not be able to get through any social programme, but Iran will scale back the inofficial understanding now.

Posted by: somebody | Jan 21, 2015 5:10:26 AM | 62

Israeli mouthpiece Ben Caspit in 2006 and 2015 …
We Will Not Capitulate or Be Trampled Upon | Maariv | August 10, 2006
PM: Our forces attacked a high-level terrorist unit in the Syrian Golan | Al Monitor | January 20, 2015

Posted by: Oui | Jan 21, 2015 6:21:40 AM | 63

Based on strict interpretation of the Torah, Palestinians today are the Amalakites. An article in the Israeli Jewish Orthodox publication "Fountains of Salvation", which purports to be a 'family magazine', suggests that Israel will create death camps for Palestinians in order to wipe them out like Amalek [source Ynet News in 2011].Text of the quasi-Nazi religious Zionism …

Israel's Orthodox Rabbis: 'Palestinians to the Ovens!'
IDF Chief Rabbi teaches Torah to terrorists, show Palestinian civilians ‘No Mercy’
Jewish Home MK Candidate Directs Settler Rabbi Group Which Advocated Genocide

Posted by: Oui | Jan 21, 2015 6:22:31 AM | 64

@59 "Will Iran call off or scale down their reprisals?"

Well, if they do then it won't be because of any back-pedalling from the Israelis.

But they might ease off if the Americans whisper a juicy promise in their ear, though they'd want to be absolutely certain that it is a promise that Obama can't back out of.

Posted by: Johnboy | Jan 21, 2015 6:26:58 AM | 65

Lol Assad staying strong after all these years, Hezbollah staying strong after all these years but according to "wayoutwest" they are "doomed".

Lol America staying strong after all these years, The Dollar staying strong after all these years but according to pro-Russian propagandists they are "doomed".

Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Jan 21, 2015 6:49:37 AM | 66

@9 Cold
Your satire continues to inspire! Linking to i24news.tv (The Israei Answer to Al Jazeera)on "Why Hezbollah won't....." pure genius.
Are you sure? not Charley?

Posted by: celestion | Jan 20, 2015 10:39:02 PM | 41

I agree, it's tantamount to linking to PressTV or RT or Al Jazeera as you indicated, or Moon of Alabama as to "Why Hezbollah will....." That's the point. You get it. The truth is illusive, but some here think they've captured and bottled it somehow and their truth is the only truth cuz someone's gotta be right, right? But what if no one is right and there is no right? Well, if that were so it would be time for everyone to take their balls and go home for dinner — playtime's over and the sandbox is closed for business. Who wants to rain on that parade? Me, apparently, like a little black raincloud floating above the honey tree. Pay no attention to little me.

Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Jan 21, 2015 7:01:22 AM | 67

- I think Hezbollah has been deliberately ratcheting up tensions but I don't think Hezbollah/Nasrallah wants to provoke the Israelis too much. Supporting Assad and taking on the Israelis at the same time is - IMO - simply too much for Hezbollah.
- And that's - IMO - precisely the strategy. Let Jabhat-Al-Nusrah (JAN) attack Hezbollah. Then Hezbollah is forced to withdraw support for Assad to fight JAN. And Israel can lean back and watch how JAN & Hezbollah are weakening each other. ("Divide & Rule"). But can Israel control JAN ?

- But Netanyaho/Israel has, by attacking this person, also "shown one of his cards". I guess it's a confirmation of what Hezbollah & Iran already thought or were aware of.

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 21, 2015 8:14:53 AM | 68

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 21, 2015 8:14:53 AM | 68

Nasrallah spent about six hours talking(speech + interview) provoking Netanyahu.

Like testing how waterproof they are. Now they know.

Posted by: somebody | Jan 21, 2015 8:26:40 AM | 69

@69: Agree. "Testing how waterproof they are". Excellent point.

But still I don't think Nasrallah wants to provoke too much. He also has to think about the position of Hezbollah in Lebanon itself. In Lebanon there're tensions as well. Thousands of syrian refugees in Lebanon doesn't help to stabilize the lebanese (economic) situation.

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 21, 2015 8:33:23 AM | 70

Johnboy, the weapons procurement reasoning for Hezbo(Jackson?)llah's playing Iran's lapdog and spreading itself thin is specious. Via Syria is not the only way for Hezbollah to arm itself. Greece and Turkey would be happy to help, and probably already are. But let's assume your reasoning has merit, the question remains, what is Hezbollah doing in Golan on the Israel/Syria border? Surely it's not to enable weapons procurement, and also, even though through Syria is the most direct route for Iranian weaponry, from a cost-benefit perspective, it's simply not worth the effort. Hezbollah has its hands full as it is. And finally, some here have contended that Hezbollah is strong, but what about Lebanon — is it strong? Are the ordinary Lebanese people strong? I'd say no, so that poses a contradiction that must be reconciled. How is it that their avowed protector, Hezbollah, is strong and yet that which Hezbollah claims to protect is weak? The answer to that question is messy and disconfirming to your biased worldview and that's what happens when you choose sides when there are no good sides to choose. Myself, I don't have a side. My sentiments and empathy resides with the ordinary Lebanese people trying to be productive and survive, not the various players attempting to destroy that or exploit it in any way they can for personal gain and power.

I'll have a post up in the next couple days entitled American Diaper. It won't disappoint and it promises to piss more than few people off.

Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Jan 21, 2015 8:46:36 AM | 71

You guys don't see the obvious, a big strategist like Nasrallah knew exactly how to provoke the Kahazari like Netanyaho/Israel, the bait was taken, the other spy within it's ranks has now been arrested, Iran has an excuse for direct action for attacking IDF. BTW the next big date for the Chabad-Lubivitchers is 20 March, which also coincides with the first blood moon of 2015. Blood Moons are very important for the Chabads. Things hves got to move faster, panic is setting in. as they say Haste makes Waste.

Posted by: papa | Jan 21, 2015 9:04:26 AM | 72

@72: Good Point. Yes, Nasrallah is a better startegist than his predecessor, who was killed by the Israelis. I guess Israel does regret killing that person. Now they have to cope with Nasrallah.

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 21, 2015 9:31:24 AM | 73

Wayout, a letter from 2006:

Covering the Mideast War

To The International Herald Tribune, Aug. 18, 2006

The Israeli-Lebanese war began while my wife and I were at home in France. We immediately noted a difference in European coverage of the conflict from what we have come to expect from U.S. media sources. The European media was both more informative and more neutral.

We also had the opportunity to watch the network Al Jazeera, whose television coverage was distinctly different from the U.S. and European media.

Al Jazeera’s crews were sometimes very near the action, and almost always arrived ahead of any other media crews to broadcast scenes of war. Their coverage of the Qana bombing, much of it without comment, lasted all day — dead babies, women and young children being pulled out of the rubble, wounded and horribly maimed adults staggering around in shock. It was sickening, depressing and horrifying. It was the kind of coverage not seen in any Western media, but just the kind of coverage all wars need and deserve for the reasons Kessel and Klochendler state: to help answer questions on what the war might be about.

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 21, 2015 9:50:17 AM | 74

@Cold N. Holefield

"Reality is a lie. Lying, therefore, makes this world go around. Accept it. Embrace it. Understand it fully. And most importantly, lie well and for all the right reasons."

As per the above motto on your blog, your comments are ruled by it. Your alleged "neutrality" "...Myself, I don't have a side...", is, well, a lie. Hezbollah is a key member of the Axis of Resistance with Iran and Syria, not Iran's lapdog, as you derisively called it. Without any proof, you assert Greece and Turkey can be channels for Hezbollah weapons. Where do you get your info? Fox Moooooos? What is Hezbollah doing in Golan? Hezbollah, for very clear existential reasons and self-preservation, joined the war against the AQ, et al terrorists in Syria, supported by the West and by the terrorist Zionist entity. JAN/AQ, supported by this entity, has created a buffer zone in Syrian territory. Having defeated the ISIS/JAN terrorists in areas close to Lebanon, Hezbollah has moved to other fronts, and it is only natural they are now planning operations in Golan, to attack the head of the snake instead of its tail. As for your separation of Hezbollah from the Lebanese people, is, well, yet another lie. Lebanese Shi'ites, which make up the bulk of Hezbollah membership, are, first and foremost, Lebanese. If the Shi'ites are strong, Lebanon is strong. Israel used to walk into Lebanon at a whim, not anymore. Why? Hezbollah. The SLA, puppets of Israel in yet another buffer zone along the Lebanese border, were forced to withdraw along with their masters, the Zionist entity, because Hezbollah is strong. Hezbollah is a well respected political and military organization in Lebanon, a key pillar of Lebanon's existence as a nation-state. Without Hezbollah, Lebanon would have disappeared long ago, or turned into a subservient state of the Zionist entity. So, your bleeding heart "sentiments and empathy" about the Lebanese people are nothing but one more lie. Keep on trucking, we are here to debunk lies.

Posted by: Lone Wolf | Jan 21, 2015 10:04:23 AM | 75

@34:

Congratulations, b. You hit a VERY tender spot with this post.
This thread is well on the way to setting a record for the degree to which the comments by Hasbara trolls outnumber those of Humans.

Yeah, Hoarsewhisperer, rather incredible - several I hadn't seen as trolls turned out to be. Maybe some are Christian trolls with that 'solidarity with Jews' bullshit?

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 21, 2015 10:06:33 AM | 76

@Cold N. Holefield

Earlier @66

Lol America staying strong after all these years, The Dollar staying strong after all these years but according to pro-Russian propagandists they are "doomed".

Later @71

...Myself, I don't have a side...

Figures lie, but liars figure, eh?

Posted by: Lone Wolf | Jan 21, 2015 10:16:44 AM | 77

@77: A LOT OF people think that a strong & rising USD is good sign and that it signals a strong US economy.

But I personally consider a strong & sharply rising US Dollar is actually to be UTMOST bearish sign for the ENTIRE world economy.

I personally fear the day that both the US Dollar & US interest rates "go through the roof". Because that's for me THE SIGN the US T-bonds market is imploding. And with the imploding T-bond market the US will become "toast", go "to hell in handbasket".

Posted by: Willy2 | Jan 21, 2015 10:46:46 AM | 78

watch this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnyZoIcWFMc

Posted by: okie farmer | Jan 21, 2015 11:25:21 AM | 79

Fair@57

I don't know when the report you excerpted was printed but on Sept 25 of last year a Saudi prince and a female UAE pilot led the attack on IS in Iraq, look it up and then think about what you believe to be true. The Saudis have built a long border defense and sent thousands of soldiers to the Iraq border to defend against their friends the Islamic State who have returned this sign of friendship by attacking said border defenses a number of times.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 12:06:21 PM | 80

Okie@74

We had internet news services available in 2006 so I'm not sure what your point is. I knew about Israeli atrocities then as well as now but that doesn't change the history of the conflict, there were no Good Guys involved then and there are no Good Guys now.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 12:24:57 PM | 81

Anon@58

I thought you were better informed but your statements about Syrian History is troubling. Is your support for Assad just LOTE or do you actually adore bloody dictators.

As far as I know Israel was just fine with Assad in power and there were talks progressing before the civil war about an actual peace treaty.

You don't have to support Bibi to have concerns about Iran's involvement in the ME but your simplistic Manichean bent doesn't allow you to view things any other way.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 12:51:47 PM | 82

wayoutwest

Please let me know what you need sources for:

1. That Israel want Assad out of power?
2. That Syria offered reforms?
3. That Israel support terrorists in Syria?
4. That Golan is occupied by Israel?
5. That Assad/Hezbollah have been staying strong "after all these years"?

Or is it your usual trolling again?

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 21, 2015 1:03:29 PM | 83

1) Iran to arm the West Bank
2) Is there a future war on Gaza? The social situation is very bad and will likely explode soon.

Posted by: somebody | Jan 21, 2015 1:55:00 PM | 84

Anon

I see you are refusing to answer my question about your support for Assad and as to your list:

1. Opinion
2. The civil demonstrations were demanding removal of the Dictator not meaningless reforms, that BTW were never instituted.
3. Prove this, it may be partially true.
4. true, I never denied this fact
5. Past performance does not guarantee future survival, never has.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 4:10:43 PM | 85

Some@84

This is a rehash of earlier threats that never seem to materialize and BTY the Izzies are occupying the West Bank with the assistance of the PA.

The real grand arming is happening in Lebanon where the Saudis are spending $3Billion to supply the Lebanese Army with French weapons to resist the coming Islamic State advance.

Another interesting development is Bibi's recruiting visit to France to lure French Jews to Israel to face the real threat to its existence, the Islamic State.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 4:21:14 PM | 86

wayoutwest

1. Its my opinion that Israel want Assad out of power?! Actually see my link below, will you deny that Israel support syrian terrorists in Golan? Or do you deny there arent any terrorists perhaps? That UN source is lying?
2. Hes elected democratically elected, as lately as 2014, you must be quite stupid if you belive he being hated by all syrians whens he's still in power.
3. "New Evidence Suggests Israel Is Helping Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights"
https://news.vice.com/article/new-evidence-suggests-israel-is-helping-syrian-rebels-in-the-golan-heights
5. Which means what? You just denied that they were standing strong.

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 21, 2015 5:10:25 PM | 87

Anon@87

I didn't think you were that simple or easy but your calling Assad a democratic leader proved me wrong. When dictators hold elections with no real opposition they are not magically transformed into Liberal Democrats they are actually hypocrites.

I'm beginning to wonder if your Iranian trainers wasted their time with you.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 5:25:22 PM | 88

Wayoutwest

A hated man as you say Assad is, could not stay in power if he didnt have great support. Surely you understand such realities?

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 21, 2015 5:34:49 PM | 89

@71 "Via Syria is not the only way for Hezbollah to arm itself."

It is, indeed, the ONLY way for Hezbollah to resupply itself DURING an armed conflict.

@71: "Greece and Turkey would be happy to help, and probably already are."

They most definitely are not, and even if they were that supply route would be immediately and totally cut off during a shooting war between Israel and Hezbollah.

@71 "But let's assume your reasoning has merit, the question remains, what is Hezbollah doing in Golan on the Israel/Syria border? Surely it's not to enable weapons procurement, and also, even though through Syria is the most direct route for Iranian weaponry, from a cost-benefit perspective, it's simply not worth the effort."

Riiiiiight. Says who, exactly?

Hezbollah needs Assad to remain in power in Syria. If he isn't, Hezbollah is doomed.
So Assad asks for Hezbollah's help in the Golan, and Hezbollah says "OK, sure".

Really, what more is needed, other than for Hezbollah to add "Oh, yeah, and you'll owe us one".

Posted by: Johnboy | Jan 21, 2015 5:43:54 PM | 90

Anon@89

A dictator by definition does not rely on the public for his power, the powerful in the society keep him in power.

Even in our so called democracies our leaders are not really chosen by the people we are just allowed to add consent to the charade.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 6:25:58 PM | 91

mikeM @23

i read the article and it doesn't clearly say that - it merely says Israel is turning a blind eye, one may assume that US is also in that particular theater?

i find all this extremely confusing, so many cross purposes and wheels within wheels, but it seems probable that israel did know who they were attacking, it is also pretty obvious (as per virgile @42) that they are trying to kick the hornets nest in order to put the kibosh on the nuclear negotiations. also obvious that iran knows this and will find some creative way to fuck back that won't rock the boat to much, or just be very patient.

i must agree with coldy (if that really is his opinion) that there aren't any good guys in this whole shitstorm. the world of power relationships is filled with brutal, ruthless assholes and the only reason we aren't all slaves is because they are so busy trying to stab each other in the back they haven't got to it yet.

the various theories and explanations for isis and jan's existance and who is backing them is particularly knotty. i hesitate to believe conspiracy theories but it does seem possible that ksa is behind them and at the same time is scared shitless (building the border wall etc.) for the simple reason that the kingdom is not a monolith, lot's of competing factions, all trying to game each other and win control. one thing though that speaks to the conspiracists that i haven't seen mentioned is all the sniper attacks on iranian senior officers. does anyone know how many of them were caught? real honest to dog professional snipers are not easy to create, they require an enormous amount of training and need really good equipment, intel, and teammates to be effective and not get caught immediately. maybe they are 'suicide snipers' but that would mean they aren't really pro's.

Posted by: sillybill | Jan 21, 2015 6:39:54 PM | 92

JB@90

I can't disagree with your logic, Hezbollah has been tied to Syria since their inception and your reasoning makes sense. Hezbollah was the only major group in Lebanon to reject the call for the end of the Syrian Occupation and they even killed one of its major supporters, Rafik Hariri.

I don't think there will ever be a major conflict with Israel, Hezbollah has joined the Lebanese government and any conflict, while damaging Israel, would destroy Lebanon, again.

Posted by: Wayoutwest | Jan 21, 2015 6:40:53 PM | 93

There is an interesting interview with Abu Mujahid, spokesman for the Popular Resistance Committees, at PRC Spokesman: Future Operations Against the Enemy will be ‘Thorn in Israel's Throat’ at english.al-akhbar.com (thanks for linking to the site, somebody).


AA:The number of operations in the occupied West Bank have increased recently. Is there a prospect for new commando operations?

AM:Our people will find the appropriate means to fight the occupation. The recent operations were a source of concern for the Palestinian Authority (PA). PA President Mahmoud Abbas’s inability to find a solution, his promotion of illusions, in addition to the political deadlock, will provoke popular anger in the West Bank and help create a fertile ground for the resistance, which will result in military operations.

AA: Is there a decision among the factions regarding these operations?

AM:Some were carried out based on a decision by the factions, and others through a personal decision. The two compliment each other. In the end, these are resistance efforts. We expect future operations against the enemy in the West Bank to be the most excruciating thorn in Israel's throat.

AA: But has armament in the West bank begun?

AM:This is a very sensitive issue. The incidents in the West Bank did not happen in isolation from Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s statements on the need to provide arms to the West Bank, if successive operations take place in a short period of time. It was a powerful message which the occupation understood.

Posted by: jfl | Jan 21, 2015 8:08:13 PM | 94

Neighbours/eye witnesses on Qunetra strike

Just two cars driving through.

Posted by: somebody | Jan 21, 2015 11:43:02 PM | 95

@92 sillybill. god open ended commentary i can relate to. thanks.

Posted by: ..james | Jan 21, 2015 11:52:29 PM | 96

91 wayoutwest

He was elected as of 2014 with millions of vote by the syrian people so of course he rule through popularity.

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 22, 2015 3:01:14 AM | 97

He was elected as of 2014 with millions of vote by the syrian people so of course he rule through popularity.

I know he's my all-time favorite dictator, mostly because he has a hot wife — not many dictators do. We know dictators, figuratively, have big heads but in Assad's case he also literally has a big head. It's the biggest head I've ever encountered. It's huge. I'm surprised he doesn't have back problems like women with big breasts have from carrying around all that extra weight.

Posted by: Cold N. Holefield | Jan 22, 2015 8:40:34 AM | 98

@Cold N. Holefield

I know he's my all-time favorite dictator, mostly because he has a hot wife

I'm surprised he doesn't have back problems like women with big breasts have from carrying around all that extra weight.

Those are the most stupid comments, to say the least, we will encounter today at MoA. Any other comments on dictators "hot wives" or "big heads"? You need a high IQ to comment @ a dictator's big head or hot wife. Beware. :-)

Posted by: Lone Wolf | Jan 22, 2015 9:52:14 AM | 99

Lone Wolf will now be told he doesn't get satire.

Posted by: dh | Jan 22, 2015 11:33:52 AM | 100

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